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Softpanorama
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source be with you,
but remember the KISS principle ;-)
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Bulletin of Skeptical Views of Offshoring, 2005
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Old News ;-)
I just got my weekly issue of (fill in your
weekly computer rag) and under the news section is “Difficult ERP Rollout
Slows Furniture Maker”. Is it just me or does this seem like the norm with SAP
R/3 rollouts?
Let's see there was
The City of San Antonio
Rowe Furniture
Dell Computer
That whole UK fiasco with EDS ( I pretty sure that was SAP R/3 )
So my question is who is buying this crap and
why do companies continue to try and roll it out when there is one high
profile, expensive, failure after another?
Dell Computer tried to use SAP to replace its
DOMs (Dell Order Management System). This was many years ago and the price tag
that I recall was around 14 million dollars. For what? Not a single Dell
employee was using SAP when I worked there. In fact Dell tried to replace DOMs
so many times it became something of a joke [but that's another post]. It is
always amusing to watch a company squirm because their entire backend system
is running on a competitors hardware (Tandem).
Has anyone worked on a SAP R/3 rollout that
wasn't a death march? I really want to know. Five or six years ago I
was seriously considering jumping to the SAP platform because the developers
were making gobs of money. These days you couldn't pay me to work on a SAP
rollout. I'm both older and smarter. Who wants to work on something doomed to
fail?
Batt compares the
economics of contracting with an MSP to those of leasing a new automobile
instead of buying it. "The cash outlay overall is more if you lease, but you
have upfront costs if you buy," he says. In contracting for a service, Pulte
obtained the latest and most sophisticated technology right away at a much
lower upfront cost than it would have incurred had it bought and built its own
CRM system, Batt notes.
TPI's Slavin says customers shouldn't consider
MSP services in terms of potential cost savings anyway. "There's not a
straight-up IT cost savings, because the MSP is usually providing some service
that the current internal IT infrastructure couldn't have done," he says. It's
more about results, such as gaining access to a new customer set, expanding
your business or reducing your time to market, he says.
5 What's the exit strategy?
Whirlpool's Luersman recommends that users take
particular care in working out this part of an MSP contract. She also
recommends building very specific timelines and details into the contract
upfront. For example, if Whirlpool has a fluctuation in its employee head
count or needs to change a business process as a result of an acquisition,
Convergys has a 60-day window to work through and change all of the services
it provides.
Bill Martorelli, another analyst at Forrester,
says users should also be sure to include change-of-ownership provisions
in all contracts with MSPs. Over the past few years, Martorelli notes, there
has been an ongoing consolidation in the MSP market. "If a new owner takes the
acquired MSP in a different direction, the user wants to be able to get out of
the contract," he says.
Even more important to consider is a
replacement strategy, says CareerCurrency's Bean. "Exit strategies are an
important consideration, but it may be time to also reconsider IT's inherent
reluctance to outsourcing," he says. "The proper question relating to an exit
strategy is not how do we get out of something but how do I replicate the
underlying process somewhere else. It's about protecting the investment."
Lawyers from around the country weigh in with tips for client companies on
negotiating and maintaining an agreement with a managed service provider.
Contain important "hidden rocks" that you can hit when negotiating a deal. Some
of them are unavoidable problems, though.
As an outsourcing service
provider, you know the importance of the next deal over the horizon. Ensuring
that your company will thrive sufficiently for the next deal requires that you
manage your business with an eye toward the future. Consider the following six
issues...
Annual raises of 10 percent or more are now
the norm in India's $17.2-billion-a-year outsourcing industry. It supplies
workers who write software code, answer customer service calls, do legal and
equity research and engineering design, among other jobs, for overseas
corporate customers.
But despite rising pay, outsourcing
firms face annual attrition rates of 15 to 30 percent in their Indian labor
force, compared with 10 percent in outsourcing companies in Eastern Europe
and 7.5 to 15 percent in China, according to industry experts.
Labor shortages and turnover problems are
affecting India's other high-growth industries like financial services,
retail and airlines, but nowhere is it as pronounced as in outsourcing.
"High turnover, rising wages and a shortage of
suitable talent in India's most popular offshoring destinations are proving
to be bottlenecks," said Diana Farrell, director of the McKinsey Global
Institute, a research group based in San Francisco.
Employee churn is now one of the biggest
challenges for the Indian outsourcing industry, said Nandan M. Nilekani,
chief executive of
Infosys Technologies, one of India's largest outsourcing companies.
"Talent acquisition, transformation and management are critical anchors for
the growth of the industry," said Mr. Nilekani, whose company added 8,026
employees in the quarter ended in September. Infosys has 46,196 employees.
Competition has become more intense as demand
rises faster than the supply of trained workers. Even with pay increasing,
Indian engineers are paid a quarter of what their American counterparts earn,
which feeds the outsourcing boom.
According to Nasscom, the outsourcing industry
trade group in India, the country produces three million college graduates
every year, and 350,000 of them are engineers.
"It is great raw material, but only 30 percent
of this pool is ready to plunge straight in and deliver," said Kiran Karnik,
president of Nasscom. Improving the quality of that pool, Mr. Karnik said, is
on the industry's "A-list of challenges."
The problem of churn is even more acute for
outsourcing companies offering lower-skilled back-office work like call
center services. Once trained, those workers tend to hop from job to job.
Some outsourcing companies in that field are reporting a complete turnover of
employees in the span of a year.
"Employees could leave because the chicken
curry at the place next door is better or the girlfriend has moved to another
company," said Saurav Adhikari, vice president for corporate strategy at HCL
Technologies, based in New Delhi, another large outsourcing firm.
While growth in outsourcing will continue in
the near future, said Frances Karamouzis, research director at Gartner, the
attrition problem "will be looked upon as the early signs of the limits and
boundaries around the India model."
Even for companies that are successful in
attracting new workers, attrition is a challenge. Patni Computers, another
leading outsourcing company, based in Mumbai, for example, has grown from
6,000 employees two years ago to nearly double that number now.
"We especially feel the pain when employees in
critical projects and positions decide to leave," said Milind Jadhav, senior
vice president for human relations at Patni.
Smaller operations feel the squeeze
particularly severely. In Hyderabad, bigger outsourcing businesses like the
Indian unit of the
Oracle Corporation have an advantage in attracting employees. So Sierra,
with nearly 1,000 workers worldwide and headquarters in Fremont, Calif., has
had to try more innovative programs to attract and retain workers.
"It is like being at Oracle in the 1990's
Silicon Valley," said Marc Hebert, Sierra Atlantic's executive vice president
and a former chief information officer at Oracle.
Sierra Atlantic has adopted retention
strategies like permitting crucial employees to change jobs across
departments within the company. The company also offers top performers
bonuses and flexibility in work arrangements. As a result, it has cut
attrition to 16 percent this year from 22 percent last year, company
executives said.
[Nov 08, 2005 ]
Outsourcing's image problem - Computerworld
A recent
Opinion Research poll leaves no question that outsourcing -- particularly
offshoring -- suffers from an image problem. Among 1,000 Americans surveyed,
72% of respondents said outsourcing is "really all about corporate greed,"
and 25% associated the word outsourcing with job losses.
That a quarter of those surveyed made the mental leap from outsourcing to
layoffs shows a level of public misunderstanding about the labor practice
not previously documented, according to Jeff Resnick, Opinion Research
executive VP and managing director. He observes that even though many
workers whose jobs are outsourced remain employed (though on the
outsourcer's payroll) when jobs are outsourced domestically, survey
respondents apparently equated outsourcing with sending jobs offshore.
The poll's overall findings contain many contradictions. Most of the
people surveyed thought that outsourcing is good for the world economy and
bad for the United States, but only 28% were worried about losing their own
jobs. And although 69% of respondents believed the public can influence a
company's offshoring decisions by boycotting its products, only 49% said
they would pay an extra 20% for an American-made product.
J Sainsbury plc ends its troubled $3.2 billion outsourcing agreement and says it
will rebuild its in-house IT expertise.
Interview with Nandan M. Nilekani, the
chief executive of Infosys Technologies, the India's second-largest outsourcer.
He claims that "We have sort of become masters of delivering high value
and high quality at lower cost, and on top of that we're trying to add consulting". He uses an interesting justification
"You guys told us for so many years to
cut out this socialist rubbish and go to free markets. We came to free markets
and now you're telling us, "Stop, don't come"... Every time Wal-Mart replaces
a person at a checkout counter with an automatic machine they're eliminating
thousands of jobs. This is one more facet of that, except it's more emotional
because instead of a checkout counter machine replacing Steve Smith, some
kid in Bangalore is replacing Steve Smith. You can point to that kid and
say, "He took my job."
Is your job at risk? If it's the type
of work that can be done over a wire, then probably yes, says Nandan M. Nilekani,
the chief executive of Infosys Technologies.
Infosys is India's second-largest outsourcer.
After achieving success in software engineering and back-office service, it
has now begun to
compete with companies like IBM for more lucrative consulting work. This
week, Infosys reported that its second-quarter earnings rose 36 percent. It
raised its earnings forecast for the full year on stronger demand and a weaker
rupee.
In a recent interview,
Nilekani, a chief executive who makes $60,000 a year at a company worth
nearly $20 billion, spoke about Infosys' success and the danger that it and
other companies like it pose to American competitors.
... ... ...
So now you'll be competing with the
likes of IBM and Accenture. Do you think you'll change the cost structure of
the consulting business?
Nilekani: This is a battle of business models. We believe that at the end of
the day we have a disruptive business model that is a threat to the existing
business model and older companies will have to reconfigure themselves to look
more like us if they're going to be globally competitive.
What would that mean, to look more like
you?
Nilekani: In any software project, we do 30 percent of the work in the
U.S. and 70 percent in India. Our competitors do 100 percent of the work in
a particular location. We have sort of become masters of delivering
high value and high quality at lower cost, and on top of that we're trying to
add consulting. Their challenge is to retain their relationships and business
knowledge while reconfiguring their internal operations to become as efficient
as us.
Do you think you will be able to accelerate
your consulting services as fast as companies like IBM ramp up their operations
in places like India to lower their costs?
Nilekani: I think the challenge is fundamentally different. For us it's about
hiring and growth and building a brand; for them it's about restructuring the
work force and I think, frankly, I wouldn't want to do that job because it's
very painful, whereas this is exciting.
What do you say to people who think
that globalization will inevitably harm the United States work force?
Nilekani: Every time Wal-Mart replaces a person at a checkout counter with an
automatic machine they're eliminating thousands of jobs. This is one more facet
of that, except it's more emotional because instead of a checkout counter machine
replacing Steve Smith, some kid in Bangalore is replacing Steve Smith. You can
point to that kid and say, "He took my job."
Does it feel odd to find yourself lecturing
Americans on the joys of capitalism?
Nilekani: You guys told us for so many years to cut out this socialist rubbish
and go to free markets. We came to free markets and now you're telling us, "Stop,
don't come."
If it's not clear, I meant to say that the
CMM cert process is itself subject to manipulation
and fraud by the fact that anybody can submit any project (even
one they didn't do) for review to the people at Carnegie Mellon.
The "true believers" refers to those at CM and elsewhere who continue
to preach "Software Engineering" when the vast majority of its adherents cannot
reliably or even consistently produce success from project to project.
None who has far more failures than successes when using their own methods is
in a position to lecture others on the "right way" to make successful software.
Once again, the emperor has no software project magic fix, and processes
which demand innate skill cannot be mass-produced in a population without that
inate skill. Get over it.
Durba, your idiotic generalization will
make you nice fodder for the next c
by markusbaccus OCT 09, 2003 02:23:05
AMThe CMM
is a cert in that it rates a company's adoption of an apparently unquestionable
methodologly which has a 2/3 rate of failure. It is the logical
equivalent of saying, "If you don't blow on that dice three times before you
roll it, you only have a one in six chance of rolling a six. Umm-- prove it.
Do me a favor, learn how to recognize logically falacious arguments like an
"appeal to authority" or a "non sequitor", ("why isn't the SEI doing something
about it?" == fallacious belief that SEI is in a postion to adequately identify
fraud merely because it is a recognizable authority, or that it would even have
an incentive to do so. e.g. "He is an expert in physics so he would never lie
to protect his project's funding." Oh, and since we're on it, you implicitly
made an error of misplaced deduction when you missed my point. (e.g: "I lit
one match, so all matches will light." i.e., it may be true that ONE project
met the standards of the Capability Maturity Model Level 5, but that is not
an indicator of whether that company really lives up to those standards on any
other project.
Finally, you draw an inappropriate and insulting conclusion based on a faulty
analogy which rests upon a statistically insignificant sampling of people (one
guy who is self-selected to be non-technical, or else they would have no need
to offshore their work to your company, now would they??? Duh!
Here's a clue Durba: Offshoring is not due to a shortage of American talent,
it's due to a shortage of American talent who could afford to live in America
on $10 per hour. Now, drawing upon my many years of experience with teams from
many nationalities, it may surprise you to know that I would estimate that about
one in ten IT workers are worth their pay, the other nine are worthless or a
menace, and this ratio holds true regardless of their nationality (Although
Eastern Europeans do seem to do much better than 10%). Since you guys merely
adopted our IT training and introduced no new methods (unlike the communist
bloc countries), I would suggest that this should surprise no one who thought
about it.
Continuation for Durba so he can catch
the clue train.
by markusbaccus OCT 09, 2003 02:26:21 AM
If you want to go down the road of idiotic generalizations
about particular nationalities, I could tell many stories of *real* one-dimensional
thinking by Indian techs which led to far more catastrophic results than inconveniencing
you with a non-consequential question. If such a trivial issue is your idea
of bad, it makes me wonder if you even know what bad is. Since you're using
a web browser (undoubtably IE) as your FTP client, I can only imagine how lost
your team would be if you Windows-jockeys had to rely upon a command line FTP
client, which of course would never have such a problem and would have superior
performance to IE's lame-ass implementation. Maybe the guy didn't know to look
in his browser settings because he actually is used to using a different and
better tool for the job than you are?
That wouldn't surprise me, because I've met many Indians who seem to have a
special gift for assuming they know better than people with many times their
experience and ignoring what they are told until after the predictable disaster
strikes, at which time they usually act like they have discovered something
remarkable all by themselves or become strangely silent as they scramble to
fix their opus to fuckology. People like that will almost never produce good
results, which is why they will need to rely upon protectionism, nationalistic
prejudice, and nepotism if they want to keep their job in the face of global
competition.
Which, since we're on the topic, Durba, let me ask you a simple question: How
are you going to keep your job when you have to compete with people who will
work for $3.00 USD per hour, or worse, $7 a day? What worth will your four year
degree be then, genius? Get it yet? Think about it. Wipro is already working
the Vietnam angle for when you guys get uppity. Given that little reality, your
heyday won't last for four decades like ours did. Maybe an American will bail
you out when someone finally convinces a critical mass of managers that development
quality, not cost, is what leads to better ROI. Then only the truly skilled
will do well.
Past history supports Alan's view
by gerbilinheat OCT 06, 2003 09:58:51 AM
Most of us recall the flight of aircraft engineers
/ aerospace technicians in the late 1980's after the meltdown of the Reagan
Perpetual War Budget that resulted in the Reagan and Bush tax increases on the
middle class.
Ultimately, we wound up with Lockheed retiring from the commercial aircraft
business entirely, McDonnell Douglass and Boeing both suffering in worldwide
sales from the British - French consortium Aerospatial and its world class Airbus
series.
Currently, China, Thailand, Burma, Peru and several U.S. carriers are going
Airbus.
All these steps, and these identical results, occurred in the steel, aluminum,
automobile, shipbuilding and textile industries. NONE have returned to significant
and lasting profitability to date.
Simply, if you let go of your expertise, you let go of your market.
The economy!
by Harley OCT 06, 2003 02:58:20 PM
Ignoring the issue of religion, really don't need
to travel down that rabbit hole, the real issue that no one has talked about
here is the impact on the economy. Simple math, replace a 100K software job
with a 30K job and the baker, butcher, laundry, auto, home repair etc. that
the 100K software job supported are gone also. This is simple trickle down poverty
for America! For heavens sake, the US government is sending contract software
jobs over seas while millions of unemployed Americans can and are capable of
doing the work. Overseas outsourcing needs to be controlled now! Whether you
believe Wall Street or not, the economy has not hit bottom yet, and I believe
it is just taking a breath before it plunges much further. Sometimes people
need to hear the radical extreme to open their eyes to what could happen.
Coding will always be hard. Why add the complexity
of distance to a difficult process?
Hardly a day goes by when i don’t get a call or e-mail from an overseas
company offering outsourced IT services, particularly software development.
Just today, an e-mail popped into my inbox that read: “Would you like to save
up to 80 percent on your software development costs?” The e-mail went on to
tout the highly intelligent labor force in China and how this particular firm’s
software development processes “ensure delivery of high quality software on
time and within budget.” Sounds great, but I don’t think any such guarantees
exist in the real world, regardless of where the development work is done.
Any successful
software project I’ve worked on has shared two qualities: a high degree of direct
interaction between the development team and the end-users, and a high degree
of agility in the team’s methodology. The not-so-successful projects
have been of the “deliver the spec and we’ll crank out the code” variety — the
kinds of projects typically associated with overseas outsourcing. You might
be able to offshore if you are a commercial software vendor with a dedicated
product manager. But I have my doubts about this approach in corporate IT, where
the core business isn’t software development and specs are always in flux.
Whenever I
hear about any new way to make software development an order of magnitude easier,
cheaper, faster, or better, I’m reminded of Frederick Brooks’ essay
“No
Silver Bullet: Essence and Accidents of Software Engineering.” Most, if
not all, of what Brooks wrote in 1986 in his paper rings true today.
Brooks insists that software development is difficult,
and no tool, approach, or methodology can fundamentally change that:
“The essence of a software
entity is a construct of interlocking concepts: data sets, relationships
among data items, algorithms, and invocations of functions. This essence
is abstract in that such a conceptual construct is the same under many different
representations. It is nonetheless highly precise and richly detailed.
“The hard part of building
software to be the specification, design, and testing of this conceptual
construct, not the labor of representing it and testing the fidelity of
the representation. We still make syntax errors, to be sure; but they are
fuzz compared with the conceptual errors in most systems.
“If this is true, building
software will always be hard. There is inherently no silver bullet.”
I think overseas
outsourcing of software development is simply the latest silver bullet.
If you accept Brooks’ assertion that building software is inherently difficult,
adding cultural and time zone differences seems daunting. Compare Brooks’ words
to the conventional business wisdom about IT jobs headed overseas in a recent
Economist piece: “The bulk of [IT job] exports will not be the high-flying jobs
of IT consultants, but the mind-numbing functions of code-writing.” The idea
that building software is “just writing code” oddly persists in many business
circles. This is misguided and is sure to lead to pain and frustration for any
company that rushes into overseas outsourcing.
After all these
years, Brooks’ writing stands the test of time. Will the present conventional
wisdom in the business press about the viability and ease of outsourcing “mind-numbing”
code-writing seem relevant or visionary 18 years from now? I doubt it.
IMHO he has the point: "The
real trouble with using a lot of mediocre programmers instead of a couple of good
ones is that no matter how long they work, they never produce something as good
as what the great programmers can produce."
... ... ...
And in fact the conventional wisdom in
the world of copycat business journalists and large companies who rely on overpaid
management consultants to think for them, chew their food, etc., seems to be
that the most important thing is reducing the cost of programmers.
In some other industries, cheap is more
important than good. Wal*Mart grew to be the biggest corporation on Earth by
selling cheap products, not good products. If Wal*Mart tried to sell high quality
goods, their costs would go up and their whole cheap advantage would be lost.
For example if they tried to sell a tube sock that can withstand the unusual
rigors of, say, being washed in a washing machine, they'd have to use all kinds
of expensive components, like, say, cotton, and the cost for every
single sock would go up.
So, why isn't there room in the software industry
for a low cost provider, someone who uses the cheapest programmers available?
(Remind me to ask Quark how that whole fire-everybody-and-hire-low-cost-replacements
plan is working.)
Here's why: duplication of software is free.
That means that the cost of programmers is spread out over all the copies of
the software you sell. With software, you can improve quality without adding
to the incremental cost of each unit sold.
Essentially, design adds value
faster than it adds cost.
Or, roughly speaking, if you try to skimp on
programmers, you'll make crappy software, and you won't even save that much
money.
The same thing applies to the entertainment industry.
It's worth hiring
Brad Pitt for your latest blockbuster movie, even though he demands a high
salary, because that salary can be divided by all the millions of people who
see the movie solely because Brad is so damn hot.
Or, to put it another way, it's worth hiring
Angelina Jolie for your latest blockbuster movie, even though she demands
a high salary, because that salary can be divided by all the millions of people
who see the movie solely because Angelina is so damn hot.
But I still haven't proven anything. What does
it mean to be "the best programmer" and are there really such major variations
between the quality of software produced by different programmers?
Let's start with plain old productivity. It's
rather hard to measure programmer productivity; almost any metric you can come
up with (lines of debugged code, function points, number of command-line arguments)
is trivial to game,
and it's very hard to get concrete data on large projects because it's very
rare for two programmers to be told to do the same thing.
... ... ...
If the only difference between programmers were
productivity, you might think that you could substitute five mediocre programmers
for one really good programmer. That obviously doesn't work.
Brooks' Law, "adding
manpower to a late software project makes it later," is why. A single good programmer
working on a single task has no coordination or communication overhead. Five
programmers working on the same task must coordinate and communicate. That takes
a lot of time. There are added benefits to using the smallest team possible;
the
man-month really is mythical.
But wait, there's even more!
The real trouble with using a lot of mediocre
programmers instead of a couple of good ones is that no matter how long they
work, they never produce something as good as what the great programmers can
produce.
Five Antonio Salieris won't produce Mozart's
Requiem. Ever. Not if they work for 100 years.
Five Jim Davis's -- creator of that unfunny cartoon
cat, where 20% of the jokes are about how Monday sucks and the rest are about
how much the cat likes lasagna (and those are the punchlines!) ...
five Jim Davis's could spend the rest of their lives writing comedy
and never, ever produce the Soup Nazi episode of Seinfeld.
The Creative Zen team could spend years refining
their ugly iPod knockoffs and never produce as beautiful, satisfying, and elegant
a player as the Apple iPod. And they're not going to make a dent in Apple's
market share because the magical design talent is just not there. They
don't have it.
The mediocre talent just never hits the high
notes that the top talent hits all the time. The number of divas who can
hit the f6 in Mozart's Queen of the Night is vanishingly small, and you just
can't perform The Queen of the Night without that famous f6.
Is software really about artistic high notes?
"Maybe some stuff is," you say, "but I work on accounts receivable user interfaces
for the medical waste industry."
Fair enough.
This is a conversation about software companies, shrinkwrap software,
where the company's success or failure is directly a result of the quality of
their code.
And we've seen plenty of examples of great software,
the really high notes, in the past few years: stuff that mediocre software developers
just could not have developed.
Back in 2003, Nullsoft shipped a new version
of Winamp, with the following notice
on
their website:
It's the last part...
the "Most things actually work!" that makes everyone laugh. And then they're
happy, and so they get excited about Winamp, and they use it, and tell their
friends, and they think Winamp is awesome, all because they actually wrote on
their website, "Most things actually work!" How cool is that?
If you threw a bunch of extra programmers onto
the Windows Media Player team, would they ever hit that high note? Never in
a thousand years. Because the more people you added to that team, the more likely
they would be to have one real grump who thought it was unprofessional and immature
to write "Most things actually work" on your website.
Not to mention the comment, "Winamp 3: Almost
as new as Winamp 2!"
That kind of stuff is what made us love Winamp.
By the time AOL Time Warner Corporate Weenieheads
got their hands on that thing the funny stuff from the website was gone. You
can just see them, fuming and festering and snivelling like Salieri in the movie
Amadeus, trying to beat down all signs of creativity which might scare
one old lady in Minnesota, at the cost of wiping out anything that might have
made people like the product.
Or look at the iPod. You can't change the
battery. So when the battery dies, too bad. Get a new iPod. Actually,
Apple will replace it if you send it back to the factory, but that costs $65.95.
Wowza.
Why can't you change the battery?
My theory is that it's because Apple didn't want
to mar the otherwise perfectly smooth, seamless surface of their beautiful,
sexy iPod with one of those ghastly battery covers you see on other cheapo consumer
crap, with the little latches that are always breaking and the seams that fill
up with pocket lint and all that general yuckiness. The iPod is the most seamless
piece of consumer electronics I have ever seen. It's beautiful. It feels
beautiful, like a smooth river stone. One battery latch can blow the whole river
stone effect.
Apple made a decision based on style,
in fact, iPod is full of decisions that are based on style. And style is not
something that 100 programmers at Microsoft or 200 industrial designers at the
inaptly-named Creative are going to be able to achieve, because they don't have
Jonathan Ive,
and there aren't a heck of a lot of Jonathan Ives floating around.
I'm sorry, I can't stop talking about the iPod.
That beautiful thumbwheel with its little clicky sounds ... Apple spent
extra money putting a speaker in the iPod itself so that the
thumbwheel clicky sounds would come from the thumbwheel. They could have saved
pennies ... pennies! by playing the clicky sounds through the headphones.
But the thumbwheel makes you feel like you're in control. People like to feel
in control. It makes people happy to feel in control. The fact that
the thumbwheel responds smoothly, fluently, and audibly to your commands
makes you happy. Not like the other 6,000 pocket-sized consumer electronics
bit of junk which take so long booting up that when you hit the on/off switch
you have to wait a minute to find out if anything happened. Are you in control?
Who knows? When was the last time you had a cell phone that went on the instant
you pressed the on button?
- Style.
- Happiness.
- Emotional appeal.
These are what make the huge hits, in software
products, in movies, and in consumer electronics. And if you don't get this
stuff right you may solve the problem but your product doesn't become the #1
hit that makes everybody in the company rich so you can all drive stylish,
happy, appealing, cars like the Ferrari Spider F-1 and still have enough money
left over to build an ashram in your back yard.
It's not just a matter of "10 times more productive."
It's that the "average productive" developer never hits the high notes that
make great software.
Sadly, this doesn't really apply in non-product
software development. Internal, in-house software is rarely important enough
to justify hiring rock stars. Nobody hires Dolly Parton to sing at weddings.
That's why the most satisfying careers, if you're a software developer,
are at actual software companies, not doing IT for some bank.
... ... ...
The software marketplace, these days, is something
of a winner-take-all system. Nobody else is making money on MP3 players other
than Apple. Nobody else makes money on spreadsheets and word processors other
than Microsoft, and, yes, I know, they did anti-competitive things to get into
that position, but that doesn't change the fact that it's a winner-take-all
system.
You can't afford to be number two, or to have
a "good enough" product. It has to be remarkably good, by which I mean, so good
that people remark about it. The lagniappe that you get from the really, really,
really talented software developers is your only hope for remarkableness. It's
all in the plan:
|
Best Working Conditions |
→ |
Best Programmers |
→ |
Best Software |
→ |
Profit! |
... ... ...
Many of the world's largest organizations
are unhappy with their IT and business-process outsourcing engagements, according
to "Calling a Change in the Outsourcing Market," a new study by Deloitte Consulting.
Fact is, companies have been falling in and out
of love with outsourcing for more than a decade.
In the mid-1990s, New York-based insurer MONY,
citing morale and other problems, cut short its seven-year outsourcing
contract with Computer Sciences and reassembled its in-house IT organization.
Chip maker LSI Logic bailed on a five-year deal with IBM Global Services, lamenting
that outsourcing leads to a "dysfunctional" separation of technology and business
processes. In 2002, Bank One ended a $2 billion outsourcing agreement with IBM
and AT&T, with CEO Jamie Dimon citing the bank's need to "control its own destiny."
As president of J.P. Morgan Chase, which acquired Bank One last year, Dimon
scuttled a $5 billion outsourcing deal with IBM for similar reasons.
Why the disillusionment? Nearly half of the 25
blue-chip company executives interviewed by Deloitte identified "hidden
costs" as the most common problem when managing an outsourcing project. Among
other problems: Outsourcers often fail to understand customers' business
challenges and respond fast enough to their changing needs; and many customers
find that managing the relationship can be just as complicated as running an
IT shop.
Sometimes these relationships unravel over time.
In a typical case, the customer negotiates a long-term contract with the
outsourcer, which throws personnel at the engagement, but the number of bodies
never increases because there's no incentive for the vendor. Before
the contract matures, the customer's needs have grown tremendously, so the prickly
renegotiations begin.
Some 83 percent of the execs surveyed by Deloitte
said they have renegotiated outsourcing deals to adjust pricing and factor in
changes to the business, technology and regulatory environments. Some
45 percent of the respondents include "gain-sharing" clauses in their outsourcing
contracts to keep the vendors on their toes. More than half the respondents
have moved from long-term contracts (six to 10 years) to shorter contracts to
increase their flexibility and bargaining clout.
In many cases, it's not outsourcing or the vendor
that's dysfunctional. Deloitte found that 48 percent of respondents didn't have
a methodology for evaluating the business case for outsourcing; 81 percent had
limited or no visibility into their vendors' pricing and cost structure; 62
percent underestimated their own management requirements; and 57 percent could
not free up internal resources for other projects.
In other words, many customers are ill-prepared
to negotiate the contract and manage the relationship, and they're paying the
price. But walking away from a bad outsourcing deal isn't cheap either.
Some customers have had to cough up tens of millions of dollars to void their
long-term contracts, and it's even more costly (and more difficult) to rebuild
an in-house operation.
The point here isn't to bash outsourcing, which
continues to make sense for many, many companies, especially those with the
expertise and foresight to manage these relationships like they run their core
operations. IBM didn't amass a $123 billion market cap on the back of a flawed,
dysfunctional business model.
The point is that IT strategy, service,
development and support isn't a shrink-wrapped product easily transferred from
outsourcer to multiple customers. Although vendors and customers may
have conflicting agendas, the successful outsourcing engagement is a partnership
in an age in which this overused term has lost meaning. Treat outsourcing with
the care and feeding that true partnerships demand.
Rob Preston is editor in chief of Network
Computing. Write to him at rpreston@nwc.com.
Letters Economist.com
Chris Gentle Deloitte, Director of research London
Activities relocated to India are often portrayed
as outsourced call-centre functions. This is a popular misconception. Our research
indicates that IT is the cornerstone of offshoring. Staff
employed in offshored IT outnumber call-centre staff
by ten to one.
Second, labour skills, not volumes, are the
key issue. To make offshoring sustainable, firms will have to invest more in
management skills. Rather than hopping backwards and forwards on short visits,
key management talent (and their families) will have to be relocated to lower-cost
markets. And third, the pressure on costs in the West's markets looks set to
increase. Services such as banking, insurance and telecoms are very mature.
In some cases, the relocation of processing activities into emerging markets
will go hand in hand with market-entry strategies. Manufacturing took 20 years
to make its operations global. Services are just starting along this path and offshoring is likely to play a profound role in reshaping the operations of
its businesses.
By 2007, global spending on outsourcing will
top $50 billion per year, according to market analyst Gartner Inc. But not all
of these outsourcing projects will succeed. Many outsourcing projects fall apart
because companies fail to consider the costs and complexity that are associated
with outsourcing.
Deciding to outsource an IT project is a strategic
decision for a company and it's important to not rush headlong into a project
without proper planning, said Nick Rossiter, a partner at Mithras Consulting
Group, which advises clients on outsourcing-related issues.
In June, Gartner released a report that outlined
common pitfalls for companies that outsourced IT services. That report identified
five factors that companies often fail to fully consider when deciding whether
or not to outsource IT functions: cost, productivity, communications, culture
and organizational readiness.
If your company is considering an outsourcing
project, Gartner recommended that you start by analyzing the total costs of
the project. Don't look just at the difference in labor costs, the report said.
Be sure to factor in additional costs for conducting due diligence, communications,
oversight, international travel and training, it said.
That's sound advice, according to Rossiter.
"These costs can be greater than the cost of labor,"
he said.
Since outsourcing costs will not be constant
during the life of a project, companies should consider the costs for different
stages of the project. Since initial costs are generally highest during an outsourcing
project, your company may not realize significant cost savings until one or
two years after the start of the project, according to the Gartner report.
It's also important to be realistic about the
level of productivity that outsourcing providers can offer, Gartner said. Some
companies assume that the productivity of an outsourcing partner will match
that of internal IT staff: this isn't always the case. In particular, be prepared
for lowered productivity during the initial phase of an outsourcing project.
Throughout the life of the outsourcing project,
productivity levels may be affected by staff turnover at the outsourcing provider.
In these cases, new staff may have to be trained to fully understand the applications
they are working with. "They need time to get really efficient" Rossiter said.
Another key factor to consider is whether your
company's senior management has bought into the outsourcing project. Support
from top executives is "instrumental" in keeping an outsourcing project on track,
the report said.
Effective communication between your company
and your outsourcing provider are also important to the success of an outsourcing
project.
All communication between your company and the
outsourcing provider should be documented and made as clear as possible to avoid
misunderstandings, Gartner advised. This is particularly important when conveying
the technical requirements and business objectives of an outsourcing project.
If companies fail to communicate these goals clearly, problems that may arise
include lower productivity and increased errors in the project, it said.
Another issue to consider when choosing an outsourcing
service provider is culture, which differs from country to country and between
companies.
Be sure to consider which cultural issues may
affect the working relationship between your company and your outsourcing provider,
Gartner said. Seek advice from consultants and consider cultural training when
necessary to ensure a smooth working relationship with your partner. In addition,
sending internal IT staff overseas to work with the outsourcing provider may
help to minimize the risk of cultural issues affecting the success of the outsourcing
project.
Rushing into an outsourcing project before you
have fully considered all of the factors associated with these kinds of projects
can result in additional costs or poor results, Gartner said.
Be sure your company is ready to outsource before
taking the plunge. Make sure that internal staff understand the reasons for
outsourcing and are supportive of the project. Carefully consider all of the
risks and determine how much risk your company is willing to accept. Once you
have done this, look for ways to mitigate risks, it said.
Companies should also assess the maturity of
their own IT operations before outsourcing, according to Gartner. Some factors
to consider are standardized methodologies, project management skills and service-level
agreements, among others. Any weakness in these areas may result in lower productivity
and a less-than-desirable result, it said.
When considering an outsourcing project, companies
are well advised to take their time, considering a range of different geographies
and service providers, Rossiter said. India is the best-known outsourcing center
and has a large number of experienced outsourcing service providers. But there
are other choices, such as China or The Philippines, which have a smaller number
of experienced outsourcing providers to choose from, he said.
"Above and beyond that, It depends on the business
goal of the client," Rossiter said, noting that many Japanese companies choose
to outsource to China because of the close economic relationship between the
two countries. Some U.S. companies have also chosen to outsource to China in
order to further their business objectives in the country, he said.
When you've settled on a partner, you should
consider starting off with a smaller IT project that is not mission-critical
before moving on to larger and more important projects. This will allow you
and your outsourcing partner to develop a strong working relationship and will
minimize the risk of problems, Rossiter said.
If the project goes well, you can pass more projects
to the outsourcing service provider, he said.
Could a computer coding job paying just $15 per
hour signal something's wrong with the tech world?
That relatively measly amount is what's promised
in
an ad for a "ASP.NET Programmer" on the America's Job Bank site. The job,
which calls for "at least 1 year's experience either in school, at work, or
a combination of the two," is being offered by employment services company AppleOne,
according to the ad.
$15 per hour for a computer programmer makes
the position fall below the 10th percentile for the programming occupation both
nationally and in California, where the job is said to be located. It's less
than what some security guards make.
And it has Kim Berry, president of the
Programmers Guild advocacy group, steamed about the way domestic techies
have to compete with a greater number of foreign workers. A $15-per-hour coding
gig doesn't jibe with the
recent expansion of the H-1B guest worker visa program, Berry argued in
an email Thursday.
"(Department of Labor) and Congress--under the
law of supply and demand, aren't wages supposed to go up when there is a shortage?"
Berry wrote. "And if there is not a shortage, why did you recently increase
the H-1B quota by another 20,000 foreign workers per year?"
To be fair, one defense of H-1B visas is not
linked directly to a shortage of workers. Harris Miller, president of the Information
Technology Association of America, has argued that the visas give U.S. companies
important access to international talent as they compete globally.
Even so, the ad's wage does make one wonder if
guest worker visas and the
rise of offshoring are undermining U.S. tech careers--and by extension threatening
the country's tech leadership.
We've heard reports that business process outsourcing
work in India can be a
dead-end job replete
with long hours and unpaid
overtime. But it seems such workplace woes are being offset to some degree
with moments of sexual healing.
A
story in the India press today reports that BPO workers are smooching and
more in office settings, which have transformed into personal spaces in addition
to professional domains. "From making friends to cultivating relationships,
BPO units are slowly becoming hubs where inter-personal bonding takes place,"
the story in The Economic Times says. "And it comes as little surprise that
many also give vent to their sexual urges in the office space."
The story says that footage from cameras at a
leading Mumbai-based BPO unit showed a couple having sex in an office cubicle.
One source quoted in the story suggested that
serving Western customers may be changing the behavior of Indian BPO workers.
"Most of us have shed a lot of inhibitions when we come into this sector, trying
to fall in step with a different time zone and culture that becomes a part of
you," said Nicola D'Costa. "Couples walking with their arms around each other's
waist/shoulder or grabbing a quick kiss in vacant corridors does happen."
Gates, who was speaking at the Nippon Keidanren
(Japan Business Federation), Japan's biggest and most influential business group,
urged IT companies to beware of outsourcing too much to save costs and to keep
their key engineering resources and intellectual property at home.
"If you rely too much on people in other companies
and countries ... you are outsourcing your brains, where you are making all
the innovation," he said.
... ... ...
At a national level, both the U.S. and Japan
need to train more and better engineers if their economies are to stay at the
cutting edge of technological innovation, which would create value that helps
support both countries' high standards of living, he said.
Gates cast the U.S. and Japan as competing in
a global market economy that had grown from about 1 billion people 20 years
ago to 4 billion people. In this expanded, increasingly competitive economy,
India and China are training engineers who are driving their economies forward,
yet Japan and the U.S. aren't keeping up, he said.
"The number of students in engineering and IT
is going down. ... Staying ahead means setting a very high bar," Gates said.
Some business customers
are organizing “shadow” IT groups to replace IT resources that have been outsourced
Who benefits from outsourcing? Executives, of
course: CEOs at the 50 biggest U.S. outsourcers generally receive more in compensation
than do chiefs who are less bullish about outsourcing.
From the perspective of some business constituencies,
however, the benefits of outsourcing seem questionable, at best. End users,
for example, report having to fight their way through several levels of bureaucratic
indirection, and almost all are putting up with longer lag times in response
to support calls.
One upshot of end-user frustration with the Brave
New World of outsourcing is insurrection of a sort: Mad as hell and not willing
to take it anymore, some line-of-businesses are organizing “shadow” IT groups
to replace IT resources that have been outsourced, both domestically and internationally.
When IT Isn’t a Core Competency
When a new CIO came on board at a major telecommunications
carrier and provider of managed network services two years ago, he had surprising
news for the company’s IT staff: We don’t do IT. Information technology is not
a core competency, this CIO said, arguing that the money his company was spending
on IT could be better invested elsewhere.
Shortly thereafter, the CIO decided to outsource
all of his company’s IT operations, tapping the services arms of both IBM Corp.
and Electronic Data Systems (EDS) Inc. to do the job. He touted projected savings
in the neighborhood of $150 million, but assured employees, analysts, shareholders,
and others that cutting costs wasn’t an “overriding consideration.” At the same
time, he announced plans to eliminate several hundred IT jobs—although, as it
turns out, the company cut between 1,400 and 1,600 IT positions.
Two years later, the telco and network services
giant is about to enter the third phase of its lock, stock, and barrel IT outsourcing
effort. The results of this move are only now becoming apparent. At least one
of the company’s biggest business units—the managed network services group—is
far from satisfied.
As a result, says a former employee who (along
with several hundred of his colleagues) was hired in a similar capacity by IBM
Global Services (IGS), these folks are surreptitiously reaching out to former
employees at IBM, EDS, and elsewhere. “That’s the group that’s disregarding
the [CIO-driven] initiatives and trying to create its own shadow IT group
now,” says the IGS pro. “They weren’t happy about it from the outset,
but the deeper [the company has] gotten into this, the more unhappy they are.
I still work with the same people over there, and all I keep hearing is how
much they would like to hire most of us back.”
What is the managed network services group so
upset about? Consider a mundane issue—a production support call to fix a sudden
failure in a line-of-business application. Actually, the production support
call came not through regular channels—that is, through the IGS ticket system—but
directly from the line of business itself, just as it would have before the
company’s IT operations were outsourced. According to the IGS IT pro, the fix—which
required some tinkering at the database level—would have taken all of 30 minutes
to implement. Before he could do it, however, he had to get approval from his
IGS supervisor, which he assumed would be a mere formality.
“I was told the specific
request was something that they had not paid for, something not explicitly covered
in the contract, that I was not, under any circumstances, to do anything about
it until they paid for it,” he reports. The result, he says,
was that he didn’t receive instructions—through IGS channels—to fix the application
until a week later. “It was kind of ridiculous,
because this would have taken me thirty minutes at the most to do.”
IT in Exile
In some enterprises, there’s another kind of
shadow IT group, too: IT pros who’ve survived big lay-offs, often because they’re
needed to support critical operations that can’t be outsourced—yet. In
the world of outsourcing, these hardened survivors often become the touchstone
for end-user and line-of-business gripes. More often than not, many report,
they’re forced to pick up the slack for the shortcomings of “green” outsourcing
tenderfoots.
Take Don Cave, an IT professional with a prominent
global insurance giant, who survived his company’s decision to outsource one
of its database applications to the Indian subcontinent. In a previous life,
the same application was managed by a veteran crew of in-house professionals,
says Cave; these days, it’s supported by several “green” IT pros.
The result? Cave
and his co-workers have been cleaning up after the offshore team for several
months now. “We will make it a success, and the company will
save millions each year,” he says. “As a result, the offshore groups will gain
even better understanding of the system and how to modify it successfully.
Then they will hold even better cards to back up an increase in cost.
Eventually they will become as skilled as our former staff, and probably cost
70 percent with extra overhead for testing and other interfaces.”
What stings most, says Cave, is that management
is willfully oblivious to this situation. In fact, he says, his company recently
concluded a project in conjunction with offshore “experts” that—by any objective
criteria—was an abject failure: Not only did it go over budget, but it also
resulted in a dissatisfied line-of-business customer. The reaction of company
management? Deny there’s a problem, Cave says. “Of course dissatisfaction [was]
denied, except if the user is asked directly.”
Coming Full Circle
Most IT pros hold out hope that company management,
intoxicated with the purported cost savings of outsourcing, particularly outsourcing
of the offshore variety, will eventually get wise to the inevitable trade-offs.
There are some indications this is already happening, actually.
A recent study from professional services giant
Deloitte Consulting found that many one-time outsourcers are bringing it all
back home, so to speak. The Deloitte study, "Calling a Change in the Outsourcing
Market," found that 70 percent of survey participants reported having negative
experiences with outsourcing projects. Almost half (44 percent) didn’t realize
the expected cost savings, and a majority (62 percent) found that outsourcing
requires a greater-than-expected degree of management and oversight.
As a result, Deloitte says, fully 25 percent
of one-time outsourcers are bringing applications and services back in-house.
The Deloitte study also debunked several
other oft-claimed benefits of outsourcing. For example, proponents frequently
claim that outsourcing can free up internal company staff to focus on projects
that deliver more business bang-for-the-buck; for a majority of respondents
(57 percent), this wasn’t the case. In fact, because of the increased management
overhead associated with the outsourcing model, many companies said this was
impossible.
This is far from surprising to most IT pros,
of course.
“This project [I’m now on] has been joked about
for staying mainframe, but the cost savings over implementing this in ‘newer
technology’ will be in the tens of millions of dollars,” says Cave. “If
it were the outsourcers alone, they would probably just do as desired by upper
management and build a whole new subsystem. But once [management] was presented
[with the cost estimates], they realized that the numbers don't lie.”
Is offshore outsourcing good or harmful for America?
To convince Americans of outsourcing’s benefits, corporate outsourcers sponsor
misleading one-sided “studies.” Only a small handful of people have looked objectively
at the issue. These few, and the large number of Americans whose careers have
been destroyed by outsourcing, have a different view of outsourcing’s impact.
But so far, there has been no debate, just a shouting down of skeptics as “protectionists.”
Now comes an important new book,
Outsourcing America, published by the American Management Association.
The authors, two brothers, Ron and Anil Hira, are experts on the subject. One
is a professor at the Rochester Institute of Technology, and the other is professor
at Simon Fraser University.
The authors note that despite the enormity of the stakes for all Americans,
a state of denial exists among policymakers and outsourcing’s corporate champions
about the adverse effects on the United States. The Hira brothers succeed in
their task of interjecting harsh reality where delusion has ruled.
In what might be an underestimate, a University of California study concludes
that 14 million white-collar jobs are vulnerable to being outsourced offshore.
These are not only call-center, customer service and back-office jobs, but also
information technology, accounting, architecture, advanced engineering design,
news reporting, stock analysis, and medical and legal services. The authors
note that these are the jobs of the American Dream, the jobs of upward mobility
that generate the bulk of the tax revenues that fund our education, health,
infrastructure and social security systems.
The loss of these jobs “is fool’s gold for companies.” Corporate America’s
short-term mentality, stemming from bonuses tied to quarterly results, is causing
U.S. companies to lose not only their best employees—their human capital—but
also the consumers who buy their products. Employees displaced by foreigners
and left unemployed or in lower-paid work have a reduced presence in the consumer
market. They provide fewer retirement savings for new investment.
No-think economists assume that new, better jobs are on the way for displaced
Americans, but no economists can identify these jobs. The authors point out
that the track record for the re-employment of displaced U.S. workers is abysmal:
“The Department of Labor reports that more than one in three workers who are
displaced remains unemployed, and many of those who are lucky enough to find
jobs take major pay cuts. Many former manufacturing workers who were displaced
a decade ago because of manufacturing that went offshore took training courses
and found jobs in the information technology sector. They are now facing the
unenviable situation of having their second career disappear overseas.”
American economists are so inattentive to outsourcing’s perils that they
fail to realize that the same incentive that leads to the outsourcing of one
tradable good or service holds for all tradable goods and services. In the 21st
century, the U.S. economy has only been able to create jobs in non-tradable
domestic services—the hallmark of a Third World labor force.
Prior to the advent of offshore outsourcing, U.S. employees were shielded
against low-wage foreign labor. Americans worked with more capital and better
technology, and their higher productivity protected their higher wages.
Outsourcing forces Americans to “compete head-to-head with foreign workers”
by “undermining U.S. workers’ primary competitive advantage over foreign workers:
their physical presence in the United States” and “by providing those overseas
workers with the same technologies.”
The result is a lose-lose situation for American employees, American businesses,
and the American government. Outsourcing has brought about record unemployment
in engineering fields and a major drop in university enrollments in technical
and scientific disciplines. Even many of the remaining jobs are being filled
by lower-paid foreigners brought in on H-1b and L-1 visas. American employees
are discharged after being forced to train their foreign replacements.
U.S. corporations justify their offshore operations as essential to gaining
a foothold in emerging Asian markets. The Hira brothers believe this is self-delusion.
“There is no evidence that they will be able to out-compete local Chinese and
Indian companies, who are very rapidly assimilating the technology and know-how
from the local U.S. plants. In fact, studies show that Indian IT companies have
been consistently out-competing their U.S. counterparts, even in U.S. markets.
Thus, it is time for CEOs to start thinking about whether they are fine with
their own jobs being outsourced, as well.”
The authors note that the national security implications of outsourcing “have
been largely ignored.”
Outsourcing is rapidly eroding America’s superpower status. Beginning in
2002, the United States began running trade deficits in advanced technology
products with Asia, Mexico and Ireland. As these countries are not leaders in
advanced technology, the deficits obviously stem from U.S. offshore manufacturing.
In effect, the United States is giving away its technology, which is rapidly
being captured, while U.S. firms reduce themselves to a brand name with a sales
force.
In an appendix, the authors provide a devastating expose of the three “studies”
that have been used to silence doubts about offshore outsourcing—the Global
Insight study (March 2004) for the Information Technology Association of America,
the Catherine Mann study (December 2003) for the Institute for International
Economics and the McKinsey Global Institute study (August 2003).
The ITAA is a lobbying group for outsourcing. The ITAA spun the results of
the study by releasing only the executive summary to reporters who agreed not
to seek outside opinion prior to writing their stories.
Mann’s study is “an unreasonably optimistic forecast based on faulty logic
and a poor understanding of technology and strategy.”
The McKinsey report “should be viewed as a self-interested lobbying document
that presents an unrealistically optimistic estimate of the impact of offshore
outsourcing and an undeveloped and politically unviable solution to the problems
they identify.”
Outsourcing America is a powerful work. Only fools will continue clinging
to the premise that outsourcing is good for America.
COPYRIGHT 2005 CREATORS SYNDICATE INC.
The big driver on insourcing,
of course, is exactly the same thing that drove outsourcing:
dissatisfaction with IT services. The real outsourcing
sales pitch is that it lets senior executives put a
positive spin on firing the IT department without forcing
them to face their own responsibilities for IT.
Insourcing decisions have exactly the same
basis: it’s just that the target isn’t the internal IT group, it’s
that same group working for the outsourcer.
Thus yesterday’s CNET
headline: Sears ends $1.6 billion
deal with Computer Sciences isn’t the first and
won’t be the last. Fundamentally, most outsourcing contracts
substitute tweedle dee for tweedle dum and it should
be no surprise, therefore, when interchangeable people
and technologies produce interchangeable disasters.
So what can you do? Simple:
don’t be tweedle dum. Focus on reducing the upward flow
of user complaints about the quality of IT support
— but remember that expectations set by the perfect
systems on television dramas like NCIS, by IBM’s ads,
or even just the latest oxymoronic Sunday supplement
on secure wireless, cannot be met.
One totally cynical option
I’ve been growing fonder of lately plays directly to
the biases induced in executives by the contradictions
between what they’re told by the mass media and what
they’re told by user management. What I do is argue
that adopting open source applications on Unix (usually
Linux on x86 or Solaris on SPARC) will produce monetary
savings at the cost of some reduction in service quality.
CounterPunch Careless journalists
and commentators are hyping the 274,000 new April payroll jobs as evidence of
the health of the US economy. An examination of the details of the new jobs
puts a different view on the matter.
April's job growth is consistent with the depressing pattern of US employment
growth in the 21st century: The outsourced US economy can create jobs only in
domestic nontradable services.
Of the 274,000 April jobs, 256,000 were in the private or nongovernment sector,
and 211,000 of these were in the service sector as follows: 58,000 in leisure
and hospitality (primarily restaurants and bars), 47,000 in construction, 29,200
in wholesale and retail trade, 28,000 in health care and social assistance,
17,300 in administrative and support services (primarily temps), 11,700 in transportation
and warehousing, 8,800 in real estate. A few scattered jobs in other service
categories completes the picture.
Americans regard themselves as "the world's only superpower," but the
pattern of American job growth in the 21st century is that of a third world
economy. The US economy has ceased to create jobs in high tech sectors
and in export and import-competitive sectors. Offshore outsourcing of manufacturing
and of engineering and professional services is dismantling the ladders of upward
mobility that made the American Dream possible.
Not only is the US economy creating third world jobs, according to analysis
by Edwin S. Rubenstein (vdare.com, April 2, 2005), it is creating the jobs for
Hispanic immigrants. Rubinstein examined job growth by ethnicity and found
that Hispanics (13 percent of the work force) are gaining 60 percent of the
new service jobs.
Rubinstein's findings are consistent with the racial composition one observes
on construction sites, in fast food restaurants, in waste services and among
hospital orderlies.
Until recent years American jobs had nothing to fear from low-wage foreign labor.
Americans' high pay reflected their high productivity from working with the
most capital and best technology.
The collapse of world socialism and the rise of the high speed Internet
forced Americans to compete head to head in the same global labor market with
low wage foreign labor working with identical capital and technology.
When US and European corporations move their manufacturing, research and development
offshore or contract with offshore producers to supply the products and services
that they market, the jobs and associated incomes are also transferred abroad.
Americans and Europeans cannot compete in labor markets with Chinese, Indians,
and Eastern Europeans, because the cost of living in North America and Europe
is so much higher. In addition, there is a vast excess supply of labor in China
and India that overhangs the labor markets there and keeps wages low.
The claim by outsourcing's proponents that outsourcing creates new and
better jobs for Americans is pure fantasy. This claim can find no support
in job and income data. Moreover, the same incentive to outsource that is sending
so many jobs abroad applies equally to any new replacement jobs.
The only American jobs that are safe are in domestic nontradable services
that cannot be outsourced, and even in these domestic services, such as school
teachers and nurses, foreign workers are being imported via work visa programs.
Outsourcing's proponents claim that it benefits corporations and their shareholders.
This is true only in the short run. The substitution of foreign labor for American
labor allows executives to reduce costs and increase profits, thus producing
large bonuses for themselves and capital gains for shareholders. The long
run effect, however, is to destroy the US consumer market and to reduce US corporations
to a brand name with a sales force selling foreign made products to Americans
employed in third world jobs.
Offshore outsourcing is a new phenomenon that has received little attention
from economists, who mistakenly view offshore outsourcing as just another manifestation
of the beneficial workings of free trade and comparative advantage. In fact,
offshore outsourcing is the flow of resources to absolute advantage. Economists
have known for two centuries that absolute advantage does not produce mutual
gains. Unlike the operation of comparative advantage, absolute advantage produces
winners and losers.
China and India are winning. America is losing. It is as simple as that.
Paul Craig Roberts was Assistant Secretary of the Treasury in the Reagan
administration. He was Associate Editor of the Wall Street Journal editorial
page and Contributing Editor of National Review. He is coauthor of The Tyranny
of Good Intentions.He can be reached at: pcroberts@postmark.net
Reprinted from CounterPunch:
http://www.counterpunch.org/roberts05122005.html
Offshore outsourcing by financial services firms will double over the
next four years as these companies turn over larger and more strategic parts of
their operations to offshore providers, reported market research firm Datamonitor
PLC.
Anders Maehre, managing analyst at the London-based
company, said financial services firms in the U.S. spent about $590 million
on offshore services from third-party outsourcers last year, while their European
counterparts spent about $480 million overseas.
But by 2008, Datamonitor
expects offshore spending by financial services firms in Europe and the U.S.
to nearly double to more than $2 billion, said Maehre. Among
the services financial companies will increasingly send offshore are business
process functions such as mortgage processing, insurance underwriting and claims
processing.
Financial services firms are asking their offshore
providers to play an ever larger role in core operations, said Maehre. Providers
that were initially tasked to perform specific application and support work,
for instance, are now being asked to take over the development area, he said.
In some cases, the rationale behind these expanded
outsourcing deals isn't just cost reduction, said Maehre. The move is also seen
as an opportunity to improve business processes that companies may be a struggling
to fix internally because of political resistance.
Offshore providers are also reacting to
customer demand for more extensive services by buying up consulting capability.
Last month, two large offshore firms, Satyam Computer Services Ltd. and Cognizant
Technology Solutions Corp., each bought consulting companies to better enable
them to help companies with strategic IT development.
"We have seen the market evolve, and the expectation
of our customers [has] changed dramatically over the last few years," said B.
Ramalinga Raju, founder and chairman of Hyderabad, India-based Satyam. "Customers are no longer content with getting the low-end
technology services from offshore."
Satyam last month acquired Citisoft PLC, an investment
management consultancy, for $23 million, with an additional performance-based
payment of up to $15.5 million over a three-year period.
Teaneck, N.J.-based Cognizant acquired Fathom
Solutions LLC for $19 million in cash and stock, and a "contingent consideration"
of $16 million payable in two years. That firm was founded by former Accenture
executives in 1999, and has expertise in financial services and telecommunications.
"We're continuing to move
up the value chain in the services that we offer," said Francisco D'Souza, chief
operating officer at Cognizant. He said the purchase will better enable his
company to give customers "the best of both worlds" -- strong offshore capabilities
coupled with consulting services.
The India-based firms are also competing
against U.S.-based providers such as IBM and Electronic Data Systems Corp.,
which have been building up their own offshore centers to add to their existing
consulting capabilities, said Maehre.
But bad things happen to good managers too. I just got off the phone with an
IT manager. Her complaint: “Things are too complicated. Mainframes are connected
to portals. The portal was designed to work with IBM's DB2. We were forced to
make it work with Oracle SQL database. My system is always going down.” she
complained. “The outsourcers don't catch problems fast enough.”
And I recently attended a .net conference run by Infoworld, where all the
speakers talked glowingly of the ability of Microsoft's new abilities to tie
together legacy, web and e-commerce systems.
But like most things in life, complexity costs. A lot. The technocrats talk
about Total Cost of Ownership for a system - how much it is going to cost, select,
purchase, set up and install, integrate, maintain and replace a system. The
sophisticated consultants talk about Total Value of Opportunity or TVO - which
forces managers to analyze more than the cost or size of a project.
But what senior managers and those who think strategically care about is:
“What impact does all this stuff have on the business and the customer? How
do all of these technology decisions add up to make my business better or worse?
How do they affect my costs and profits? How does if affect my capabilities
and competencies?”
Law that require that every worker that serves US customers be paid atleast
US minimum wage as required by Federal law will slow down outsourcing. Other
ideas: http://www.geocities.com/saveusajob...urcing_laws.htm
beernuts wrote:
> Zalek Bloom <ZalekBloom@hotmail.com> wrote in message
> news:<tb3mg0tcr5bjalb257oh3730j1515bhe52@4ax.com>...
>
> That wouldn't help slow down IT outsourcing, or at least the bulk of
> it, since the Indian IT guys I know tell me their compatriots in India
> make about 20k/yr or around that, well in excess of minimum wage.
What WILL slow down and even stop IT outsourcing is the elimination of IP rents.
At present the American OWNERS of the enterprise collect all the rent (return
to monopoly ownership privilege) on the software created by the foreign producers. Outside
US borders the price of the software is minuscule as pirated copies are easily
obtained. Only Americans pay the inflated (rent seeking) prices. Same with pharmaceuticals.
Middle class Americans pay the toll as Bill Gates gets richer and richer. If
the Indians are as good as the Americans at producing software then why does
Bill Gates need to get the rent, and why does software cost so much? It is
my undersatanding that Indian manufacture of pharmaceuticals is much the same
kind of deal and if not then the Chinese probably do the pharmaceuticals for
sale in places other than the USA. Again: Americans pay all the rent.
The American producer's anger with the Indians taking the jobs is misplaced.
The anger should be directed at our own government and its continued reward
to rent seekers. If the software were priced exclusive of rent, then we would
all (Indians and Americans alike) benefit from the comparative advantage. But
as it is, so
called, "free trade" is merely exacerbating wealth disparity in the USA and
keeping foreigners from realizing the full return to their efforts.
I can't imagine why the Chinese pay any money to Nike at all. They
have shown they can make tennis shoes. Why not tell Nike to take
a hike?
--
http://GreaterVoice.org
(a work in progress)
The Trucker
The Trucker <mikcob@verizon.net> wrote in message news:<cekaug0231c@news4.newsguy.com>...
> beernuts wrote:
>
>
> What WILL slow down and even stop IT outsourcing is the elimination
> of IP rents. At present the American OWNERS of the enterprise
> collect all the rent (return to monopoly ownership privilege) on
> the software created by the foreign producers. Outside US borders
> the price of the software is minuscule as pirated copies are easily
> obtained. Only Americans pay the inflated (rent seeking) prices.
> Same with pharmaceuticals. Middle class Americans pay the toll
> as Bill Gates gets richer and richer. If the Indians are as good
> as the Americans at producing software then why does Bill Gates
> need to get the rent, and why does software cost so much? It is
> my undersatanding that Indian manufacture of pharmaceuticals is
> much the same kind of deal and if not then the Chinese probably
> do the pharmaceuticals for sale in places other than the USA.
> Again: Americans pay all the rent.
>
> The American producer's anger with the Indians taking the jobs is
> misplaced. The anger should be directed at our own government and
> its continued reward to rent seekers. If the software were
> priced exclusive of rent, then we would all (Indians and Americans
> alike) benefit from the comparative advantage. But as it is, so
> called, "free trade" is merely exacerbating wealth disparity in
> the USA and keeping foreigners from realizing the full return to
> their efforts.
>
I just dont see how that is the problem. Surely the fact that an Indian programmer
can live on USD4k/yr means that however low western government taxes are we
could not compete down to that level of cost!
Wherever you live in the western world there will be a minimum floor that cannot
be lowered. We benefit from clean running water, a low infant mortality, long
life expectency etc, these are the things we are paying for. If we want to compete
at their level we will have to forego those advantages. Do you suggest we do
that?
The real question we sould be asking is is it right (in the moral sense perhaps)
that globalisation allows companies to exploit the developing countries lack
of infrastructure & cost base for their own
(greedy) ends? Before anyone suggests that we are helping the poor I ask you
this: are you happy to donate your job to India and then live on the breadline
yourself so that another family can be wealthy in
India? I'm damn sure I didn't volunteer.
> I can't imagine why the Chinese pay any money to Nike at all. They
> have shown they can make tennis shoes. Why not tell Nike to take
> a hike?
Ian Illy wrote:
> The Trucker <mikcob@verizon.net> wrote in message
> news:<cekaug0231c@news4.newsguy.com>...
> I just dont see how that is the problem. Surely the fact that an
> Indian programmer can live on USD4k/yr means that however low western
> government taxes are we could not compete down to that level of cost!
But that is not the point even though I disagree with your claim. My point was
that comparative advantage (even taking advantage of overpopulation in less
developed societies) S HOULD make prices retreat to a level that makes it possible
for people to work much less or (as you would have it) get paid a lot less and
still have
the SAME or even a better standard of living. But the delivery of rent to the
owners of the IP rights takes this away. The producers are ripped off by the
rentiers.
> Wherever you live in the western world there will be a minimum floor
> that cannot be lowered.
The Bush Regime is fighting real hard to lower it. The Republicans are rent
seekers. They really want a very wealthy nobility through inheritance that tells
us all how to run our lives. They are truly anti-democracy
and anti-freedom as they do not believe that the common people are capable of
deducing and subscribing to a morality that is beneficial to the ascent of man.
It is a self fulfilling prophecy in that the uninformed and misinformed are
robbed of any means of self determination.
> We benefit from clean running water, a low
> infant mortality, long life expectency etc, these are the things we
> are paying for. If we want to compete at their level we will have to
> forego those advantages. Do you suggest we do that?
No. I'm actually suggesting a return to a much more progressive income tax here
in the USA, and a dramatic reduction in FICA tax. This should allow us to recoup
much more of the rent and at the same time decrease direct wage costs here in
the USA. Some form of National Health Insurance to supplant the patchwork
employer insurance system would also dramatically reduce the wage costs here
in the USA and provide for better worker mobility as a means to keep employers
in line. Ye ole "take that job and shove it" deal.
> The real question we sould be asking is is it right (in the moral
> sense perhaps) that globalisation allows companies to exploit the
> developing countries lack of infrastructure & cost base for their own
> (greedy) ends?
No. And that is why it is imperative to capture that economic rent (the proceeds
of the exploitation) for the good of the people here in the USA. This will serve
to marginally increase job opportunities here in the USA while not destroying
the Indian economy. Comparative advantage will still remain while the rip off
goes away.
> Before anyone suggests that we are helping the poor I
> ask you this: are you happy to donate your job to India and then live
> on the breadline yourself so that another family can be wealthy in
> India? I'm damn sure I didn't volunteer.
I was a heterogeneous systems administrator and damned good at what I did. I
was also a software configuration specialist and networking know it all. I watched
two Indians screw with a database installation
for two weeks before the management gave up and allowed me to show them how
to do it. I now drive a truck for a living but I like it better than all the
crap I had to put up with from the Republican Business types. I make less dough but I really see
a lot of this country. I live in the truck and pay rent to no one. Of course
Bush is doing all he can to allow Mexican nationals to operate and live in the
trucks and take that job away too.
--
http://GreaterVoice.org
(a work in progress)
[May 4, 2005] Information Week/Editor's Note: Outsourcing, Caps, And
A Ship Of Fools
There has been much kvetching lately
about the need to find more qualified IT workers, led by none other than
Microsoft CEO Bill Gates and his homeboys. Also in the news, at least two
efforts to address the issue: On the one hand, we have Congress approving what
amounts to an additional
20,000 H-1B visas, as long as the holders earned a master's degree or higher
from an American university (and this matters why??); on the other, we have
a very clever attempt to take advantage of both the upside and downsides of
outsourcing via a can't-miss marketing ploy--the Love, er
Code Boat.
After years of corporate downsizing, merger-induced layoffs, and wholesale
outsourcing of IT departments, it just seems incongruous to me that if a shortage
of IT labor exists, it's as big as we're led to believe. For one thing, technology
companies, which tend to employ a lot of technologists, are still
laying off broad swaths of people. For another, the size of this alleged
shortage is darn hard to pin down. A couple of years ago, I led a team of reporters
in an attempt to ferret out some cold, hard statistics in a bid to look into
the urban myths of outsourcing. It quickly became clear that the government
was not anxious to keep close track of this issue. We found few useful statistics
and very little effort to track the size of the IT worker market. Outside the
government we found mostly two camps, each with extremist views and self-serving
statistics. It's no surprise, really. This is an emotional issue. People's livelihoods
are at stake, as are corporate IT investments.
Read more about Microsoft's hiring woes and the Love Boat of programming,
the SeaCode concept, by reading
my blog.
Patricia Keefe
pkeefe@cmp.com
www.informationweek.com
Many large companies that outsourced information
technology and other services are bringing operations back in-house after failing
to achieve desired cost savings, says a new global study by Deloitte.
The research found that the tide is turning,
with almost three-quarters of companies questioned experiencing significant
problems with outsourcing projects, and 44 per cent not seeing any cost savings
materialising. A quarter of companies have brought functions back in-house
after realising that they could be managed better and more cheaply internally.
Chris Loughran, a consulting partner with Deloitte, said that of the three
areas usually outsourced - IT, finance and human resources - companies were
generally most satisfied with the outsourcing of HR services. He said
companies were going through a learning process and now realising that they
were better off keeping some functions in-house.