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It's not easy to write about pseudo science. The problem has to do with the fluid nature of the concept. It has no single, precise meaning and there is little agreement about its constituent elements. It involved subjugation of scientific aims to political and deliberate attempt in deception and subsequent cover up. But recently almost all science became political and all politics involved deception: to say that a politic is not lying is the same as to say that an alcoholic is not drinking. Still there are different degrees of lies with Lysenkoism probably representing one of the most extreme cases.
One of the most dangerous is those deception schemes use by pseudoscience is one that trades the independence for political influence, the power grab. The scientific community is generally held together and all its affairs are peacefully managed through its joint acceptance of the same fundamental scientific beliefs. Science is best practiced in a voluntary, peaceful and free atmosphere. What really matters as far as politics and science is concerned is what type of environment the individual scientists have to work in and what degree of freedom they can enjoy. As by Frederick Seitz noted in his The Present Danger To Science and Society
Everyone knows that the scientific community faces financial problems at the present time. If that were its only problem, some form of restructuring and allocation of funds, perhaps along lines well tested in Europe and modified in characteristic American ways, might provide solutions that would lead to stability and balance well into the next century. Unfortunately, the situation is more complex, made so by the fact that the scientific establishment has become the object of controversy from both outside and inside its special domain. The most important aspects of the controversy are of a new kind and direct attention away from matters that are sufficiently urgent to be the focus of a great deal of the community's attention.
The assaults on science from the outside arise from such movements as the ugly form of "political correctness" that has taken root in important portions of our academic community. There are to be found, in addition, certain tendencies toward a home-grown variant of the anti-intellectual Lysenkoism that afflicted science in the Stalinist Soviet Union. So-called fraud cases are being dealt with in new, bureaucratic ways that cut across the traditional methods of arriving at truth in science. From inside the scientific community, meanwhile, there are challenges that go far beyond those that arise from the intense competition for the limited funds that are available to nourish the country's scientific endeavor.
The critical issue of arriving at a balanced approach to funding for science is being subordinated to issues made to seem urgent by unhealthy alliances of scientists and bureaucrats. Science and the integrity of its practitioners are under attack and, increasingly, legislators and bureaucrats shape the decisions that determine which paths scientific research should take. There is, in addition, a sinister tendency, especially in environmental affairs, toward considering the undertaking of expensive projects that are proposed by some scientists to remedy worst-case formulations of problems before the radical and expensive remedies are proven to be needed. They are viewed seriously though they are based on the advice of opportunistic alarmists in science who leap ahead of what is learned from solid research to encourage support for the expensive remedies they perceive to be necessary. The potential for very great damage to science and society is real.
The rise of 'Lysenkoism' in the Soviet Union in the late 40th of the twentieth century is one of the most tragic pages of the history of science. Trofim Lysenko, a Soviet agronomist, came to prominence as the proponent of a theory of heredity that stood in direct opposition to Mendelianism. The details of this theory need not concern us, except to note that it was 'Larmarckist' in its contention that it is possible for organisms to inherit acquired characteristics. This was wrong and the principles of Mendelianism - the theory of heredity - were well understood by then. But Lysenko theory fitted nicely with the Soviet ideology. Particularly, the idea that acquired characteristics could be inherited held out the promise of the perfectibility of mankind. So the state intervened in the scientific struggle and the consequences, certainly for many of the scientists involved and arguably also for the USSR agriculture, were disastrous. The power of state was used to suppress dissidents. Many scientists were exiled; some killed. Unfortunately we cannot dismiss the obviously pernicious use of ideology by Lysenko and his supporters simply as an aberration of the era that is often brushed aside as 'the cult of personality' (with or without naming the personality in question). This proved to be much more dangerous and at the same time remarkably resilient phenomenon that survived the dissolution of the USSR. Do not fool yourself that it somehow was connected with communist ideology. The link was poorly accidental. In reality Lysenkoism emerged as a new religious of control freaks with high position in government. Moreover a lot of administrators in academic institutions belong to the category of micromanagers and as such they are naturally predisposed to Lysenkoism.
In general "Lysenkovisation of science" occurs when the state tries to control both the methodologies and goals of scientific activity. For example in the USSR huge bureaucratic institutions such as VASKhNIL and VIEM had been set up to control resources and, especially, scientific press. Part of the reason that Lysenkoism gained official support in the Soviet Union was because the Mendelian approach to genetics contradicted official ideology, in particular to Engels's dialectical materialism. In early 50th just before his death Stalin began to sense that Lysenkoism can hinder practical science by interfering with the academic atmosphere of toleration of dissent most conducive to scientific accomplishment. He even went as far as to declare that “no science can develop and proper without the clash of opinions, without freedom of criticism.” But it was too late...
Other governments are also far from being immune from this kind of tendency to select between scientific theories on the basis of ideology rather than the balance of evidence.
More benign variant of Lysenkoism that does not rely on the power of the state is usually called Cargo Cult Science. Another related term is "Mayberry Machiavellis". A long time ago -- well, actually it was just a year, but it seems like a lot longer than that -- a former Bush advisor John DiIulio got into quite a bit of trouble for revealing to Esquire that the White House did not possess, in any conventional definition of the term, a policy-making process:
...on social policy and related issues, the lack of even basic policy knowledge, and the only casual interest in knowing more, was somewhat breathtaking—discussions by fairly senior people who meant Medicaid but were talking Medicare; near-instant shifts from discussing any actual policy pros and cons to discussing political communications, media strategy, et cetera. Even quite junior staff would sometimes hear quite senior staff pooh-pooh any need to dig deeper for pertinent information on a given issue...
This gave rise to what you might call Mayberry Machiavellis—staff, senior and junior, who consistently talked and acted as if the height of political sophistication consisted in reducing every issue to its simplest, black-and-white terms for public consumption, then steering legislative initiatives or policy proposals as far right as possible.
Dan Gardner - Senior Writer for The Ottawa Citizen writes: "Cabinet meetings were scripted, Mr. O'Neill discovered, by White House staffers who sent advance notes to cabinet secretaries telling them when they were 'supposed to speak, about what, and for how long.'" Is this the shadow of Politburo or what?
Dr. Nikolai Bezroukov
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If history repeats itself...how incapable must Man be of learning from experience George Bernard Shaw |
4. Now, to the matter of Darwin. The first thing to say is that natural selection is a scientific theory about the way evolution works in fact. It is either true or it is not, and whether or not we like it politically or morally is irrelevant. Scientific theories are not prescriptions for how we should behave. I have many times written (for example in the first chapter of A Devil's Chaplain) that I am a passionate Darwinian when it comes to the science of how life has actually evolved, but a passionate ANTI-Darwinian when it comes to the politics of how humans ought to behave. I have several times said that a society based on Darwinian principles would be a very unpleasant society in which to live. I have several times said, starting at the beginning of my very first book, The Selfish Gene, that we should learn to understand natural selection, so that we can oppose any tendency to apply it to human politics. Darwin himself said the same thing, in various different ways. So did his great friend and champion Thomas Henry Huxley.
5. Darwinism gives NO support to racism of any kind. Quite the contrary. It is emphatically NOT about natural selection between races. It is about natural selection between individuals. It is true that the subtitle of The Origin of Species is "Or the preservation of favoured races in the struggle for life" but Darwin was using the word "race" in a very different sense from ours. It is totaly clear, if you read past the title to the book itself, that a "favoured race" meant something like 'that set of individuals who possess a certain favoured genetic mutation" (although Darwin would not have used that language because he did not have our modern concept of a genetic mutation).6. There is no mention of Darwin in Mein Kampf. Not one single, solitary mention, not one mention in any of the 27 chapters of this long and tedious book. Don't you think that, if Hitler was truly influenced by Darwin, he would have given him at least one teeny weeny mention in his book? Was he, perhaps, INDIRECTLY influenced by some of Darwin's ideas, without knowing it? Only if you completely misunderstand Darwin's ideas, as some have definitely done: the so-called Social Darwinists such as Herbert Spencer and John D Rockefeller. Hitler could fairly be described as a Social Darwinist, but all modern evolutionists, almost literally without exception, have been vocal in their condemnation of Social Darwinism. This of course includes Michael Shermer and me and PZ Myers and all the other evolutionary scientists whom Ben Stein and his team tricked into taking part in his film by lying to us about their true intentions.
7. Hitler did attempt eugenic breeding of humans, and this is sometimes misrepresented as an attempt to apply Darwinian principles to humans. But this interpretation gets it historically backwards, as PZ Myers has pointed out. Darwin's great achievement was to look at the familiar practice of domestic livestock breeding by artificial selection, and realise that the same principle might apply in NATURE, thereby explaining the evolution of the whole of life: "natural selection", the "survival of the fittest". Hitler didn't apply NATURAL selection to humans. He was probably even more ignorant of natural selection than Ben Stein evidiently is. Hitler tried to apply ARTIFICIAL selection to humans, and there is nothing specifically Darwinian about artificial selection. It has been familiar to farmers, gardeners, horse trainers, dog breeders, pigeon fanciers and many others for centuries, even millennia. Everybody knew about artificial selection, and Hitler was no exception. What was unique about Darwin was his idea of NATURAL selection; and Hitler's eugenic policies had nothing to do with natural selection.
8. Mr J, you have been cruelly duped by Ben Stein and his unscrupulous colleagues. It is a wicked, evil thing they have done to you, and potentially to many others. I do not know whether they knowingly and wantonly perpetrated the falsehood that fooled you. Perhaps they genuinely and sincerely believed it, although other actions by them, which you can read about all over the Internet, persuade me that they are fully capable of deliberate and calculated deception. You are perhaps not to be blamed for swallowing the film's falsehoods, because you probably assumed that nobody would have the gall to make a whole film like that without checking their facts first. Perhaps even you will need a little more convincing that they were wrong, in which case I urge you to read it up and study the matter in detail -- something that Ben Stein and his crew manifestly and lamentably failed to do.
Daniel Dickson-LaPrade says:
one BIG difference is that Lysenkoism was very top-down. Darwinist biologists were imprisoned, exiled, killed, or pressured to emigrate so that the glorious forward march of Soviet agriculture could continue untrammeled by the crypto-capitalism of Darwinist stooges (LOL).
Luckily, the ID movement and other astroturf evolution denialist movements have had no luck whatsoever gaining any respect either within the scientific community or (for the most part) in the highest levels of government.Jeff Williams says:
Agree that there were obvious political differences as DDL points out.
But its clear was thread runs through both movements...the rejection of a system of thought known as the scientific method to obtain political or social ends, primarily because the "offending" system ran counter to achieving those political ends.
Different ends...same means. Reject fact, reject the scientific process and twist the "facts" and the "system" to fit within a failed political/social agenda.
I’d never heard of the series The Ascent of Man before, but this clip captures perfectly why the current administration’s claim to absolute certainty is to be feared.
Michael Altarriba says:A relevant critique of the concept of "detecting design": http://wiki.cotch.net/index.php/Positive_Case_for_Design
The concept of "irreducible complexity" is likewise deeply flawed.
http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/behe.html
Mark Hornberger says:There are tens of millions of Americans who believe that people and dinosaurs co-existed. There is a Jack Chick tract explaining where the dinosaurs went--we ate them. Chick's view of the world is more common than many like to admit. How people "end up" like this is complicated. It's part religion, but that isn't really it.
There is a rich vein of ant-intellectualism and anti-science sentiment running through American culture. Add in our latent populism (i.e. the average guy in the street is as smart and informed as you need to be to understand just about anything of value) plus the conspiracy us-against-the-powers-of-evil mindset prevalent in the right wing and you have aLast edited by the author on April 21, 2008 1:07 PM PDT
mostserene1 says:
Mark, you hit the nail on the head. You see anti-intellectualism spewing from the mouths of cable pundits, ironically many Harvard-educated, who hold out the "average-joe" - the uneducated, blue collar worker, as the heart and soul of America, a noble savage that can spot an "elitist" a mile away, especially in the presidential race.
According to these pundits, the people do not want too smart a president; rather, they want a president with whom they can envision downing a cold beer. So, If I understand it, these average joes want their own kids to go to the best college possible but they want their president to be an average-IQ good ol' boy.
From the redoubtable Dr. Dawkins in The God Delusion: Mensa meta analysis indicates religiosity is inversely correlated with education, interest in science, and IQ. Guess we should not be surprised. Sorry, I strayed a bit off topic, but then again these noble savages are the ones who think dinosaurs perished a few days ago.
Mark Hornberger says:Greg Janzen -- "Religion, as usual, is the source of the problem."
I'm not trying to exonerate religion, but my point is that it's a bit deeper than that. Religion is the vehicle (or excuse, or label), but anti-intellectualism was also rampant in Pol Pot's Cambodia and Mao's China, to well-known effect. The first thing Pol Pot did was shoot the intellectuals, going so far as to simply kill everyone wearing glasses.
Where religion already has a foothold (and is already leaning towards to anti-intellectualism) then that's the form it takes, but God is not the entirety of the problem. I know many evangelicals who, if they abandoned their faith tomorrow, would just flip over to belonging to the atheist "club," with t-shirts, bumper stickers, and thoe whole "part of something" thing they like but which is so inimical to critical thinking.
3 of 4 people think this post adds to the discussion.
In reply to an earlier post on April 22, 2008 10:16 AM PDTGreg Janzen says:
Interesting. But it's been argued (by serious historians and not just by popular commentators like Hitchens), and I tend to agree, that regimes like Pol Pot's, Mao's, Stalin's, etc. were effectively religious regimes. E.g., all of them encouraged submission to an all-powerful dictator, a quintessentially religious practice. So one wonders if it isn't a confluence of religious elements that ultimately led to the anti-intellectualism of those regimes.
But your claim regarding the evangelicals seems true. I, too, know evangelicals who would take up crystal gazing, astrology, or some other bunkum if they lost their faith in god. I don't know if this is a symptom of the whole "part of something" thing, but it's a complete abandonment of the intellect. They seem positively intent on avoiding anything that might require them to use their noggins
Stephen Marley says:Greg,
Did you see this article about a recent poll taken in the UK?
A CHARITY set up by an ardent Christian to fight slavery and the opium trade has identified a new social evil of the 21st century - religion.
A poll by the Joseph Rowntree Foundation uncovered a widespread belief that faith - not just in its extreme form - was intolerant, irrational and used to justify persecution. Pollsters asked 3,500 people in Britain what they considered to be the worst blights on modern society, updating a list drawn up by Rowntree, a Quaker, 104 years ago.
The responses may well have dismayed him. The researchers found that the "dominant opinion" was that religion was a "social evil".
Many participants said religion divided society, fuelled intolerance and spawned "irrational" educational and other policies.
One said: "Faith in supernatural phenomena inspires hatred and prejudice throughout the world, and is commonly used as justification for persecution of women, gays and people who do not have faith."
Many respondents called for state funding of church schools to be ended.
The findings contrast with Rowntree's "scourges of humanity", which included poverty, war, slavery, intemperance, the opium trade, impurity and gambling.
Poverty and drugs remained on the list, but are joined by issues such as family breakdown, young people's behaviour and fears over immigration.
Tom Butler, the Bishop of Southwark, rejected the poll's indictment of faith. He said: "People meeting together, week after week, for worship, support and education in church, synagogue, temple, gurdwara and mosque can not only help people build local community but can teach children to become good citizens."
However, Terry Sanderson, president of the National Secular Society, said he was "extremely pleased". "Britain has had it with religion," he said.
hell kitten says:TD -- so what? dinos & people co-existed & cuz eve ate an apple - plant eating kitty cats (and other carnivores) started eating (*gasp*) other animals. every culture has their weird beliefs -- why should we be immune? let people believe whatever nonsense they like -- it might make them happier. but here is where i get controversial...I think, before people *vote* they have to demonstrate *competency* on several levels. qualifying exams on key issues, that's all i ask.
Stephen Marley says:TD & Elliot,
I first read about the report in U.K Times Online (when I found the link again it would not open) Evidently, the published news article was somewhat controversial in that the hard data wasn't included. I found the actual Rowntree Foundation report in pdf form - http://www.socialevils.org.uk/documents/social-evils-report.pdf
Evidently, they didn't publish the actual number of respondents who felt religion was a "social evil" either. (Knowing that percentage seems to be at the center of the dispute between secularists and theists)
What the report said - "There was disagreement among participants around the issue of religion. Some identified the decline of religion in society as a social evil.
A more dominant opinion, however, stood in stark contrast to this: some people identified religion itself as a social evil. This group generally focused on one of three issues: the "erosion of secularism"; religion as cause of intolerance and conflict; and religion as a source of irrationality."
So we're left to ask what number out of 3500 constitutes the "dominant opinion" and, of course, in the highly religious USA, the results would be significantly different.
Best Regards
Steve
After the accounting scandals of 2002, where Skilling and other Harvard MBAs played high-profile roles, the school studied what it could do to improve the conduct of its graduates. It concluded that students' ethical compasses were set before they got there, which one could view either as accurate or a way of punting.
Comments
- Richard Kline said...
- While this is cross-grain to the purpose of your post, Yves, I just can't put out of my mind the question of who Dubya Bush _paid_ to do his course work for that diploma. I cannot, CANNOT, believe that a man as fundamentally stupid, unlearned, and incapbable of extracting any real content even from the few books he mentions in passing that he currently has read could have mustered a passing grade at a competitive graduate program, let alone one heavy on the math side like an MBA. Who'd he pay, 'cause it's a no-brainer he couldn't cut this course?
- First, a lot of people who graduate from HBS aren't the brightest bulbs. Only a fairly low percentage (under 10%) is either flunked out or drops the program. And you get a long way in that program by stating the obvious, with conviction.
Second, in the runup to the 2004 election, someone sent me a video of Bush giving a speech and taking questions when he was campaigning for Texas governor. The difference was stunning. He could handle multisyllabic words and complex sentence structures with confidence, and could field questions with answers that appeared nuanced. So the intervening years of hard drinking killed more brain cells than most of us realize.... ... ...
- Yeah, well, I do know that few graduate programs wash out their aceptees, especially at the masters' level: it reflects poorly on the _program_. And these MBS barns are tremendous cash cows for their institutions, so I guess.
And I agree with the very first observation regarding the impact on attendees ethics by these programs, that the ethical perspective of those individuals is largely set before they ever arrive. Whether or not these programs should teach ethics, they will have little impact on the actual morals or lack thereof of those whom they instruct.
And Dubya, hard-drinkin' _since_ he got elected in Texas? I mean, I really don't keep up on his personal timeline, but doesn't this go back on, y'know, his pact with God?? . . . Could it be blow, maybe??? The man sure does _not_ seem to function congnitively.- I have found Harvard MBAs to be unambiguously afflicted with excessive hubris, compulsive salesmanship, mediocre intellect, and unimpressive analytical skills - in other words, quite well positioned to assume leadership roles in business.
- One of the problems with business school in general is that it teaches that management's role is to serve shareholder interests and that shareholder interests are best served by maximizing profit.
Ten years ago my article about the role of the US-funded Harvard advisers in Russia's economic reforms exposed their maze of networks. I analyzed the web of interconnections that enabled Harvard economist Andrei Shleifer, a friend of then Treasury official Lawrence Summers, and a close-knit group of Russians and Americans to largely shape US economic aid policy and Russian economic ''reforms" while managing virtually the entire nearly $400 million US flagship economic aid project. Summers helped Shleifer and Harvard gain noncompetitive government awards through arrangements that were highly unusual in foreign aid contracting at the time, according to US officials.
This maze of networks guaranteed the Harvard players their success in the 1990s. It also enfeebled the multiple investigations of their activities during the same period. Although the US Justice Department filed suit in 2000 (following a three-year investigation), alleging that Shleifer and Harvard had conspired to defraud the US government, the case came to a head only last summer with a negotiated settlement that required the university to pay $26.5 million in fines and Shleifer to pay $2 million. And despite being versed in Summers's entanglements, in 2001, the Harvard Corporation, with sole authority to hire and fire the Harvard president, appointed him the university's president.
The Harvard case points to the failure of modern democracy to adapt its monitoring and accountability systems to a new breed of players exemplified by Shleifer. These peripatetic players have gained influence in the reorganizing, networked world in which authority has been diffused by the profusion of government outsourcing contracts and the end of the Cold War.
The result is that accountability has been undercut by relationships between governments and contractors that are too tenuous, flexible, and ambiguous to be genuinely monitored. Shleifer, for example, played sometimes indistinct and overlapping roles as he lobbied in favor of his projects and advised both the United States and Russia while making investments for his own personal gain, all the while presenting himself as independent analyst and author. The endowment funds of both Harvard and Yale gained access to valuable investments through networks inhabited by Shleifer and/or his currency-trading wife. His investments in Russia, which he does not deny, included securities, equities, oil and aluminum companies, real estate, and mutual funds -- many of the same areas in which he was being paid to provide impartial advice.
Shleifer's defense in the Justice Department's lawsuit is revealing: Although US prosecutors charged that his investments violated federal conflict-of-interest regulations, defense lawyers maintained that he was a ''mere consultant," and thus not subject to these rules. Yet as director of the project, the buck stopped with him.
The system is virtually incapable of dealing with such players' infractions and lack of transparency in a timely fashion. It is not for lack of inquiries, including a 1996 Government Accountability Office investigation and a lawsuit brought by a US mutual funds firm working in Russia, which was settled out of court in 2002.
Traditional accountability frameworks are no match for the ways in which today's diffused authority provides new opportunities for players to brandish influence, evade culpability, and gain deniability, while writing the new rules of the game. While Shleifer must pay a settlement and legal fees, it is too late for the Russian people, who, instead of wise guidance, got corruption and a system wide open to looting. Until the United States devises better ways to track the networks and activities of these new players, it is destined to have an ever more untransparent and unaccountable system, with grave implications for democracy.
Janine R. Wedel, professor of public policy at George Mason University, is author of ''Collision and Collusion: The Strange Case of Western Aid to Eastern Europe."
© Copyright 2006 Globe Newspaper Company.
Too Long, Thinly Documented and Lacking Recommendations,
February 15, 2008
By Loyd E. Eskildson "Pragmatist" (Phoenix, AZ.) "The Age of American Unreason" aims to update us (post Richard Hofstadter's 1963 "Anti-Intellectualism in American Life") on how American culture devalues knowledge and rationalism. Supporting material include findings that only about half of Americans read a book in any year, only 26% accept Darwin's theory of evolution, and only a minority can name the four gospels or the first book of the Bible. Jacoby also contends that anti-intellectualism and knowledge is worse in the U.S. than any other developed economy - but offers no evidence.
How did we get to this state? McCarthyism, liberal Soviet defenders, the growth of religious fundamentalism and junk-science, and a celebrity-focused culture are proffered candidates for blame. Again, however, little is offered as evidence except in the case of junk science - fomented by right-wing backers. Regardless, Jacoby also fails to peel back the onion further - eg. "Why has fundamentalism grown?" Jacoby does make an important point stating that the impact of anti-intellectualism is much greater today than the 1800's when science and medicine had much less to offer.
Other candidates should also be considered for blame - the growth of particularly strong anti-intellectualism among inner-city African-American youth, endless self-promoting junk science "research" from other sources (eg. drug companies, various "diet gurus," many social 'scientists'), elevation of race- and gender-based courses to major fields of study, the growth of "political correctness" and cultural relativism, truth-twisting by politicians, misleading and overly simplistic books and articles (eg. concluding causation via correlation), weak academic standards, and media's minimal efforts at investigative journalism.
Jacoby also fails to note that the average citizen's aversion to knowledge and rationalism can at least be partially explained. After all, who wants more work after their eight+ hours on the job and fighting traffic, preparing and eating breakfast and dinner, PLUS taking care of the children and other family matters? Further, separating junk science from the real thing requires considerable subject matter (often deliberately withheld) and statistical background. As for politics, even some knowledgeable people I know see involvement as a waste of time - "nothing changes," "they all lie," and "only big donors have input," while leaders since Harry Truman have bemoaned economists' inability to come to useful conclusions.
On the other hand, it is troubling to see how readily misinformed Americans acquiesce to acceptance of non-thinking ideology and major misdirections in American governance.Anti-Intellectualism Revisited,
March 8, 2008
By Izaak VanGaalen (San Francisco, CA USA) More damaging and pervasive than fundamentalist religion is our culture of "infotainment," available everywhere and all the time, promoting junk science, celebrity culture, youth culture, and mindless music and video segments. Jacoby argues that what is lost in this type of media bombardment, which requires only the shortest of attention spans, is the ability to think at all. She longs for the print culture of earlier times, when people still had the leisure and the quiet to read the classics.
Those times, however, are gone. Technology is driving today's culture and intellectuals are adopting to the changes. The distinction between old and new media is already obselete. Newspapers and books now appear in digital form giving people have a superabundance of information to sift through. The question is do we stll have the stamina and discipline to discern what in our culture is worth keeping?
February 20, 2008 | charles hugh smith-
Is the U.S. a deeply anti-intellectual, anti-learning culture, and thus a deeply ignorant one? Every few years comes a book which argues persuasively, "yes." This year's entry is The Age of American Unreason
. Longtime correspondent U. Doran alerted me to the book via this story link: Susan Jacoby: Bemoaning an America that values stupidity.
A generation ago the book du jour chastising the dumbing down of America was The Closing of the American Mind
which judging by sales on amazon.com remains very much in the public consciousness.
The Anatomy of Science
- Science and Pseudoscience
- What is a Theory?
- Replicability
- What is Proof in Science?
- What Pseudoscience Tells us About Science
- Does Science Find Truth?
- Trisecting the Angle
- With Friends Like These...Dumb Remarks by Scientists that Pseudoscientists Love
- So You Want To Test Your Perpetual Motion Machine?
The Anatomy of Pseudoscience and Irrationalism
- The Great Silly Season: 1965-1981
- The Anti-Science Movement of the 1960's and 1970's
- On Post-Modernist Philosophy of Science
- Why Does Anti-Intellectualism Exist?
- The Appeal of Pseudoscience
- "Self-Appointed Experts"
- Bad Logic
- Bad Data
- When the Cranks Rule
- When Scientists Drift Into Pseudoscience
- With Friends Like These...Dumb Remarks by Scientists that Pseudoscientists Love
- Abelard for Today
- Attack Logic, Not Data
- Dutch's Rules of Just About Everything
- 21st Century Geocentrism
The Great Plagiarism Witch Hunt
...T. J. Jackson Lears, a cultural historian who edits the quarterly review Raritan, said, “The tendency to this sort of lamentation is perennial in American history,” adding that in periods “when political problems seem intractable or somehow frozen, there is a turn toward cultural issues.”
But now, Ms. Jacoby said, something different is happening: anti-intellectualism (the attitude that “too much learning can be a dangerous thing”) and anti-rationalism (“the idea that there is no such things as evidence or fact, just opinion”) have fused in a particularly insidious way.
Not only are citizens ignorant about essential scientific, civic and cultural knowledge, she said, but they also don’t think it matters.
She pointed to a 2006 National Geographic poll that found nearly half of 18- to 24-year-olds don’t think it is necessary or important to know where countries in the news are located. So more than three years into the Iraq war, only 23 percent of those with some college could locate Iraq, Iran, Saudi Arabia and Israel on a map.
Ms. Jacoby, dressed in a bright red turtleneck with lipstick to match, was sitting, appropriately, in that temple of knowledge, the New York Public Library’s majestic Beaux Arts building on Fifth Avenue. The author of seven other books, she was a fellow at the library when she first got the idea for this book back in 2001, on 9/11.
Walking home to her Upper East Side apartment, she said, overwhelmed and confused, she stopped at a bar. As she sipped her bloody mary, she quietly listened to two men, neatly dressed in suits. For a second she thought they were going to compare that day’s horrifying attack to the Japanese bombing in 1941 that blew America into World War II:
“This is just like Pearl Harbor,” one of the men said.
The other asked, “What is Pearl Harbor?”
“That was when the Vietnamese dropped bombs in a harbor, and it started the Vietnam War,” the first man replied.
Ms. Jacoby doesn’t expect to revolutionize the nation’s educational system or cause millions of Americans to switch off “American Idol” and pick up Schopenhauer. But she would like to start a conversation about why the United States seems particularly vulnerable to such a virulent strain of anti-intellectualism. After all, “the empire of infotainment doesn’t stop at the American border,” she said, yet students in many other countries consistently outperform American students in science, math and reading on comparative tests.In part, she lays the blame on a failing educational system. “Although people are going to school more and more years, there’s no evidence that they know more,” she said.
Ms. Jacoby also blames religious fundamentalism’s antipathy toward science, as she grieves over surveys that show that nearly two-thirds of Americans want creationism to be taught along with evolution.
Comments
While a lot of people, particular older people, will make the same charge (full disclosure, I'm 58, and have both a BA and a MA, and can and do read books) the fact is that Ms Jacoby would have been better off just looking at Americans v. Americans.
There are in every culture better educated/worse educated, more intelligent/less intelligent, more interested/less interested. Comparing across cultures, I have no doubt that Ms. Jacoby was seduced by the accents and apparently advanced cultural levels of her correspondents, all of whom, almost by definition, would be drawn from the "educated elite."
If she wants to get "down and dirty" I suggest she go to the banlieus (suburbs) of Paris (that supposed center of culture) and interview First Generation children of Tunisian and Algerian immigrants, many of whom live in appalling poverty, denied access to higher education and compare them, for example, to the prototypical "coal miner's daughter" or even more fairly, to first generation American children of immigrants from ANYWHERE.
Here we do provide "free public education" at least for a while, although we make it increasingly difficult to take advantage of it.
And yes, I'm afraid a lot of people WILL call her a crank, because she is part of the problem, the "tut-tutting, pooh-phooing, of America" that doesn't do any thing EXCEPT sell books.
Perhaps in the next administration, when they adjust tax rates, they should have a special "Jacoby surcharge." Put the funds to public education.— Judy, Fairfax, VA
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As an American living in Sweden, I occasionally travel back to the U.S. on visits. It never fails to astonish me that what passes for news there is mindless, repetitive and focused primarily on celebrities. When vastly greater swaths of news time are spent on some celebrity's being sent to jail as opposed to informing Americans how our Constitution is being undermined and subverted by the Bush administration, not to mention what's happening of significance elsewhere in the world, it reveals exactly why too many citizens are ignorant of not only the rest of the world but of their own country.
With half the people polled in a reputable national poll believing that evolution and natural selection are myths and that "creationism" is worthy of being taught in the nation's schools, it's to be expected that America is becoming dumbed-down under the influence of the irrationality of religion, particularly fundamentalist religion. It boggles the mind that one of your leading Republican candidates for the presidency holds blinkered views like this and is a former fundamentalist preacher in the bargain. Imagine a guy like that in the Oval Office or just a heartbeat way from the presidency.
So why are so many American actually and properly perceived as being hostile to global knowledge, indeed, knowledge essential to a nation's survival? Start by taking an honest look at what purports to be "news" there and at the unhealthy dominance of religion in American life. More could be said on other malign influences, but start with those just mentioned. Prediction: if America continues on its present path, look for it to become a second-or-third rate nation no longer looked to as worthy of emulation.— dbsweden, Sweden
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===As a recent new resident, I find the cultural differences between the US and Canada and Europe to be astounding.
Somehow or other the culture in the US has cultivated, and generally accepts that the US is somehow exceptional in all respects. With US exceptionalism comes a certain hubris that (i) the rest of the world should somehow automatically accept that view, (ii) that there are no lessons to be learned by the US, (iii) that US practices are best practices, (iv) the rest of the world should automatically and immediately accept US policies and practices, and (v) there is something wrong with the rest of the world if they don't.
Oh, by the way, another belief which leads to trouble is that the US republic is the first among equals of representative and responsible elected governments. Properly functioning constitutional monarchies with histories older than that of the US do quite well.
With these popularly held ( and acted upon) beliefs, it is no wonder that the US culture generally is perceived (and in my experience is) hostile to global knowledge.
— TP, washington
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Ben Franklin made the idea of a democratic government in America wildly popular in Europe by explaining it would be based on reason, knowledge and science rather than religion. It would create religious freedom specifically because it did not promote one religion over another. Europeans, wary of centuries of one religious persecution or another, were so enthusiastic about this that Franklin was toasted by royalty and common folk wherever he traveled and gave him the support neede to start the American Revolution. Ironically, religion has so flourished in the USA - more than our educational system - that many Americans are being persecuted again by their own religions. Religions that demand obedience to doctrine instead of promoting inquiry, knowledge, and reason. It is these religions that promote hostility to knowledge in our society. Ultimately religion is an antiquated belief system that on balance does more harm than good and we should be done with it. But in the short term, if we must tolerate it, religious beliefs should have no place in government. Those who argue that morality is based in religion and therefore necessary in a just society show lillte faith in mankind's ability to be moral without having to lean on God.— separation of church and state, philadelphia
Recommend Recommended by 43 Readers===
I think it's very hard to generalise - some Americans are close friends, others leave me bewildered. On a visit to Lancaster, CA in 2005 I was stopped carrying a documentary handycam into a WalMart in pursuit of our subjects.
The hander-out-of-vouchers' first comment was "Don't bring that thing near me", her second: "Cute accent, where you from?" "New Zealand." "Is that like Ireland? I've always wanted to go there". I replied: "Where? Ireland or New Zealand?" "Yes! Over there." "Best you allow some time - they're some distance apart." "Oh really? Oh well..."
This being immediately after G W Bush's re-election, I became cheeky: "Can I ask you a question?" She was open to that. "Where's Iraq?" "Ooooh... on a map – someplace near Jerusalem!" She got that right, in geopolitically hemispheric terms at least, but I couldn't help being left with the impression that in that part of California, global consciousness didn't extend much past the mall. It felt systemic in origin. America seems to have inbuilt cutoff points - if you don't get past high school, your global view is predictably set.
Hopefully with Barack Obama, the world will have a US president who'll think in broader terms - but I couldn't help a little shadenfreude. As a person with a good liberal high school education and an uncompleted degree,and a bit of travelling under my belt, the level of global awareness, or lack of it, that I encountered in America was staggering. There seemed to be one phrase to explain anything: "9/11".
I was clearly moving in the wrong circles, but my friends in this country seem to know more about American politics, even state politics, than most people I talked to in their home towns. I was left wondering why anyone believed Fox News about anything, but seemingly, everybody did. Why?
Patriotism. "My country, right or wrong." Excessive salutation of the flag. Stratification of the education system, and the sense that freedom of thought is reserved for those who qualify to attend Princeton, Brown, Harvard, Yale or MIT. The rest had best settle for Fox's opinions, pervasive as they are, and connect "emotionally" to events.
But I sense a change in the body politic, and a welcome one for us all, helpless observers though we may be, from afar. There's change coming, and the world is watching. I hope Americans understand how profoundly the election of Mr Obama will affect America's global standing. It's immense.— fearless@mac.com, Auckland, New Zealand
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Recently, I spoke with a Japanese women in her 30's about American politics. She wanted to know about the candidates and I briefly explained, to my knowledge, the difference between the candidates and how they would affect the US. One of the things she couldn't understand was why Huckabee was so getting so many votes. She didn't understand why so many people would vote for someone who believes in Creationism and how so many people choose to believe god over science. "How can American people be so stupid? How do they find evidence for god creating the earth?" I honestly couldn't answer her question. Then she said, "I guess ignorance is bliss, they can avoid the accountability for the all the mess they created around the world and blame it on god." I was quite offended by the comment but could not retort, then I remembered a quote from the news before the Iraq war by some Iranian teenager. "Everyone in the world strives to be more technologically advanced and less theocratic, but America is becoming more theocratic?" I think it's because we are just taught to be engines of the economy and thinking/worrying about other things will detract us from being productive. Buy! Consume! Enjoy life, nothing else matter!— kb, Japan
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It's not a new phenomenon. Americans have always been provincial. After I got out of the Army in 1971 and was living in Paris, the students I knew at the Sorbonne were shocked to discover that I thought Viet Nam was a horrible mistake, and had since 1967.
"All the Americans we meet defend your war," they said.
Look at the current occupier of the White House. He'd never even been to Europe before he was appointed. This provinciality from a man of a wealthy family... but one who has the curiosity of ruminant.
The problem with lack of intellectual news curiosity starts with early schooling. We are taught that we are the greatest "democracy" (which we have never been) the world has ever known. So what's to learn? We are surrounded by oceans on two sides, one keeping us from the culture of Europe and the history of Africa, and the other ocean keeping us safe from Asia. We disdain Mexico and think Canada is quaint. It doesn't occur to most Americans that what happens on the rest of the planet matters to them, unless of course someone pierces that veil of apathy with four jumbo jets. Then we become bellicose and defensive. "What did we do wrong?" so many asked, having no clue what we've done "wrong" for the last 50 years, since they paid no attention (this is not to defend the horrific acts of Al Qaeda ...merely to point out that there was a cause... they weren't random acts.)
A nation which is consumed by the trivia of baseball players, movie stars, soap operas and other worthless pap, can't seem to find time for world events which do affect the entire country. Unfortunately, it leaves us open to the demagoguery of unscrupulous leaders who march to war against the wrong country, even lying to us to get us to fall into lock step! Like an alcoholic, we are addicted to our creature pleasures and useless information- caught in a perpetual world of Pong. We have abrogated our responsibility to be truly informed to a pack of people who merely manipulate us. And like an addict, we will not discover the cure, knowledge and active participation, until we hit bottom. But we will, at any moment, be able to tell you the latest basketball scores and where Britney is spending the night.— jvm, ORO VALLEY, AZ
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Americans are not hostile to global knowledge. I lived in the States for 17 years and got an education there.
Everybody wishes openly that they would like to know more about the World. There are though some interesting questions:
Why do Americans associate knowledge with IQ? They call someone who is educated smart. In Europe they do not think that. Even a mountain sheppard can be smart without ever going to school.
Why is there an aversion towards a rigorous function of the intellect? All technology is geared to automatization of thought and thinking. But thinking requires facts -bits of knowledge; with automatization they are not neccessary.
Nationalism, and there is plenty of it in American everyday life, has made the US the center of the world. There are so many things that Americans have to learn for their own motherland -indeed a vast country, that there is no time for anything "outside". More, being in the "center", minimizes interest in the periphery.
Is it perhaps the Imperial Ideology propagated in the popular media? It can be summarized as follows: "all we want is to help these people to develop and establish Democratic rule -like ours in their country. We may steal their raw materials, meddle with their politics -so we can ensure the siphoning of these materials,and those who do not like that or resist, we must reform or eliminate. Our citizens, this is all they have to know -nothing else. If they know more, that could endanger their way of life." A bad picture must be painted of these people, so exploitation can go on without serious resistance in the homefront. It worked during slavery, it can work now. The result?
A psycological block for any substancial knowledge for the Other.
Does Primary education focus on global or historical processes? Does it focus on wide social phenomena? Not much. Here the attention is focused on the individual, character, biology, personal values, perception, inspiration etc. In Europe, education is permeated by a marxist, materialist system of thought, obsolete, though for scientific analysis, nevertheless a useful for the citizen tool, that promps him to always scratch the surface and look for real facts. Any Official Version is not enough for the European, so he must learn and that is a motive to education. Unfortunately, in the US, Enlightment is not for the masses, it is hinted upon only in higher education.
Last, it is perhaps the commercialization of life that plays a role in Americans not getting a decent education: The designation of television as the authority of what a citizen must know, of what is Important.
It is important to know what are the consumer products available, their qualities, prices, availability of money, etc. Every day life is full of such concerns. Personal euphoria at what price; everything is translated into exchange values. Now what is the exchange value of knowing where river Don flows?— masterantre, Athens, Greece
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The bulk of the media totally supports the mindless crap that passes for "news". In addition to that, there is a strong anti-intellectual/anti-academic wind that blows in this country. Somehow it is blindly accepted by a lot of folks that academia are bastions for those hated "liberal" goings-on. How pathetic. And as far as "global knowledge" is concerned, we Americans still feel that we are the "greatest" country on Earth - in spite of the trash that's been going on during the Bush presidency - and the hubris that is associated with that thought (the "greatest" country on Earth). As for me, I think the US of A is on the downhill slope of our "ascendancy" - the dumbing down alone in our country is testament to that.— alsbh, New York City
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Why should we care? We are the greatest nation on Earth. Even more so than Rome. We have the most progressive political system (if you think we have problems, take a look at Israel, or what England and France sweep under the Rug), our economy has a profound effect on every other countries, even with our trade imbalance. And we have Bill Gates and Sean Milton, now THat is something to be proud of!!— hasifleur wagibigit, nyc
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Ignorance starts at the top and works it's way down. I believe the U.S. government, which is run by the wealthy, greedy and powerful, would rather keep it's citizens ignorant of it's many misdeeds at home and abroad. When my daughters went to high school they learned nothing about geography and little about history except the propaganda line of how wonderful we were and how we never did anything wrong.
It's easier to keep ignorant people happy and under control. Once they start getting educated and learning the truth it could cause a reformation like happened in Europe about 1500 AD and the boys at the top would not like that.
Look how easy it's been for the military industrial complex to manipulate George, who must have cheated in college, who in turn manipulates the masses.
— Jerry, St. Louis
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So why has America-bashing become such a popular pastime? Because America IS still the top dog. People care about what affects them, which is why the entire world is so wrapped up in the U.S. presidential election. Americans don't care very much about what happens outside of America because very little of it affects them. For better or for worse, the world will continue to be heavily influenced by U.S. business interests for many years to come.— Ben, law student, NY
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I just love it when somebody reinvents the wheel. In 1966, the eminent historian Richard Hofstadter published the definitive history of this phenomenon in his groundbraking book, ANTI-INTELLECTUALISM IN AMERICAN LIFE. The botton line: denigrating or undervaluing the achievements of the mind is an American tradition. As contemporary proof of the pudding, just look at the buffoons our society idolizes as heroes and role models. And it is this anti-intellectualist streak that, in this day and and age, still leads large segments of the population into denying the reality of evolution, global warming, and other tenets of modern, established science.— FJJM, Atlanta, GA
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Is the average European really more knowledgeable than the average American? As a German once told me, "the average guy in Europe gets home from work, gets a beer, and sits down in front of the TV, just like the average guy in America."— HS, Manhattan
Conservatives have drawn strength from populism. But you can overdo any good thing —and I am beginning to think that on this one, we've zoomed the car into the red zone.
For me, the lights started flashing in 2005, during the battle over the nomination of Harriet Miers to the Supreme Court of the United States. Defenders of the president's under-qualified nominee began attacking the concept of qualification. One wrote: "The GOP is not the party which idolizes Ivy League acceptability as the criterion of intellectual and mental fitness. Nor does the Supreme Court ideally consist of the nine greatest legal scholars." Harriet Miers, we were told, had a good Christian heart. That was enough ... In the end, it was not quite enough for Ms. Miers. But it may be enough for many voters in 2008.
The currently front-running candidate in Iowa, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, has built his campaign on a plan to abolish the Internal Revenue Service and replace the federal income tax with a national sales tax ... Economists and tax experts virtually unanimously agree that the plan is beyond unworkable -- that it is downright absurd.
... Just a little lower down in the polls is a libertarian candidate named Ron Paul. Paul is best known for his vehemently isolationist foreign policy views. But his core supporters also thrill to his self-taught monetary views, which amount to a rejection of everything taught by modern economists from Alfred Marshall to Milton Friedman.
Huckabee and Paul have not the faintest idea of what they are talking about. The problem is not that their answers are wrong -- that can happen to anyone. The problem is that they don't understand the questions, and are too lazy or too arrogant to learn.
Fair points all: ..., and Frum's larger worry about anti-intellectualism in the contemporary Right is one I share in spades. But if you're going to be hard on the current crop of Republican candidates for making bogus claims about public policy, it seems awfully unfair to leave out the candidate given to running ads in which he announces: "I know that reducing taxes produces more revenue. The Democrats don't know that. They don't believe that." (They don't believe it, of course, because in the current fiscal landscape you can't find a serious conservative economist who thinks it's true.) Or penning op-eds in which he explains that "the meaning of fiscal conservatism" includes the principle that "lower taxes can result in higher revenue." Or telling a GOP debate audience, in response to a question about whether we need to raise taxes to fix up our nation's transportation infrastructure, that the way “to do it sometimes is to reduce taxes and raise more money.”
Now it’s true that occasionally Rudy Giuliani hedges his bets (“sometimes,” “can,” and so forth) on this topic, and it’s true as well that he may not actually believe the extreme supply-side talking points he’s spouting, in the way that Huckabee presumably believes in the Fair Tax and Paul in the gold standard. On the other hand, neither of those ideas are likely to serve as the basis for economic policy in the United States any time soon, and both are marginal even within the right-wing coalition; the “tax cuts raise revenue” canard that Giuliani keeps promoting, on the other hand, is a staple of Bush Administration rhetoric and probably the dominant view among movement conservatives. If you’re looking for cases where the Right’s anti-elitism has shaded into outright anti-intellectualism - for cases where, in Frum's words, a GOP politician has deliberately failed to "study the problem, master the evidence, and face criticism" - Giuliani’s frequent channeling of Larry Kudlow seems like at least as telling an example as anything Mike Huckabee and Ron Paul are peddling.
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In comment to Economist's View Crazy Views on the Economy Ryberg says...It is unfortunate that Ron Paul is lumped in with Huckabee and Guiliani. His economic theory may be self-taught and is not mainstream but it is well-founded in theory and research. Most accepted economic theory provides a limited role for total debt/credit. It is easy to accept deficits and monetary easing as necessary stimulants with no seeming long-term implications. To Ron Paul, tax cuts imply deficits which imply increased debt which is the long-term beast that is out of control. But it is hard for anyone, including economists, to see this problem when we use an elastic yard stick -- fiat currency. He would have us go to a gold standard because it is a standard. Just because his policies are not likely to be adopted any time soon, especially by you, does not make them crazy ideas. He has been generating a broad following precisely because his ideas are well-founded with more consistency than the other candidates. It's just that his logical conclusions seem inconsistent with your a priori assumptions.
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The Baron says...Mark, while I will admit that all of the candidates have a depressing lack of candidness and truthful insight into the major issues, blaming any one of them on deliberately lying, despite the existence of factual evidence to the contrary, is missing the point.
Just a few short posts ago, there were defenders of John Edwards who were saying that his populist approach was what the other Democratic front runners needed to emulate to win next year's election. Now, here, we have a decrier of populist rhetoric, just because it happens to be untrue. The unfortunate truth is that populist, by definition, means, "what the people believe and want to hear."
Guiliani, and others, are all intelligent people. They know the way to win elections is to tell the people what they want to hear. When the people (those unwashed masses, not the refined and erudite members of this forum) want to hear lies, the person who insists on telling the truth isn't going to get very far. The story of Cassandra and her fate is very telling.
The anti-intellectualism has been pushed in our public education system, our entertainment society, and our instant gratification economy for far too long, and has been driven far too deeply into the public psyche to be discounted now. It is interesting if you talk to people across many generational ranges, how the opinion about the well educated changes. I would say that 80% of the folks I talk to 40 and over, still have respect for people with proven credentials. As you talk to a younger and younger audience, outside of institutions of higher education, you get a more and more anti-intellectual response. When I talk to teens, just about to leave high school, the level of willful ignorance astounds me. These aren't kids who haven't been taught, or just haven't learned. These are kids that know they don't know, not everything, but hardly anything, and not only don't care, they revel in it. My youngest is in high school, and even he comments on how his friends don't have disagreements about issues or information, they get upset when anyone tries to bring facts into an argument. If they don't 'feel' that one side is right, well that's enough for them, and facts are "all just lies and made up stuff anyway."
One of the great truisms of Democracy is that the people get the government they deserve. As more and more of our selfish, anti-fact society takes over the voting booth, I am afraid that we are going to have to suffer through the government that they deserve.
Posted by: The Baron | December 18, 2007 at 06:01 AM
"Presidents at 12 private universities received more than $1 million in the 2005-6 school year, the most recent period for which data on private institutions is available, up from seven a year earlier, according to an annual survey of presidential pay to be released today by The Chronicle of Higher Education.The number of private college presidents earning more than $500,000 reached 81, up from 70 a year earlier and just three a decade ago. The survey also found that the number of public university presidents making $700,000 or more rose to eight in 2006-7, the reporting period for public institutions. Only two public university presidents made $700,000 in the previous period. The survey did not include E. Gordon Gee, who took over at Ohio State University earlier this year and whose $1 million pay package, before bonuses, is probably the highest of any public institution."
"John W. Curtis, director of research and public policy at the American Association of University Professors, said rising pay to presidents was consistent with a “corporate mindset” at colleges."
September 14, 2007; Page B1We all make mistakes and, if you believe medical scholar John Ioannidis, scientists make more than their fair share. By his calculations, most published research findings are wrong.
Dr. Ioannidis is an epidemiologist who studies research methods at the University of Ioannina School of Medicine in Greece and Tufts University in Medford, Mass. In a series of influential analytical reports, he has documented how, in thousands of peer-reviewed research papers published every year, there may be so much less than meets the eye.
These flawed findings, for the most part, stem not from fraud or formal misconduct, but from more mundane misbehavior: miscalculation, poor study design or self-serving data analysis. "There is an increasing concern that in modern research, false findings may be the majority or even the vast majority of published research claims," Dr. Ioannidis said. "A new claim about a research finding is more likely to be false than true."
The hotter the field of research the more likely its published findings should be viewed skeptically, he determined.
Take the discovery that the risk of disease may vary between men and women, depending on their genes. Studies have prominently reported such sex differences for hypertension, schizophrenia and multiple sclerosis, as well as lung cancer and heart attacks. In research published last month in the Journal of the American Medical Association, Dr. Ioannidis and his colleagues analyzed 432 published research claims concerning gender and genes.
Upon closer scrutiny, almost none of them held up. Only one was replicated.
Statistically speaking, science suffers from an excess of significance. Overeager researchers often tinker too much with the statistical variables of their analysis to coax any meaningful insight from their data sets. "People are messing around with the data to find anything that seems significant, to show they have found something that is new and unusual," Dr. Ioannidis said.
In the U. S., research is a $55-billion-a-year enterprise that stakes its credibility on the reliability of evidence and the work of Dr. Ioannidis strikes a raw nerve. In fact, his 2005 essay "Why Most Published Research Findings Are False" remains the most downloaded technical paper that the journal PLoS Medicine has ever published.
"He has done systematic looks at the published literature and empirically shown us what we know deep inside our hearts," said Muin Khoury, director of the National Office of Public Health Genomics at the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. "We need to pay more attention to the replication of published scientific results."
Every new fact discovered through experiment represents a foothold in the unknown. In a wilderness of knowledge, it can be difficult to distinguish error from fraud, sloppiness from deception, eagerness from greed or, increasingly, scientific conviction from partisan passion. As scientific findings become fodder for political policy wars over matters from stem-cell research to global warming, even trivial errors and corrections can have larger consequences.
Still, other researchers warn not to fear all mistakes. Error is as much a part of science as discovery. It is the inevitable byproduct of a search for truth that must proceed by trial and error. "Where you have new areas of knowledge developing, then the science is going to be disputed, subject to errors arising from inadequate data or the failure to recognize new matters," said Yale University science historian Daniel Kevles. Conflicting data and differences of interpretation are common.
To root out mistakes, scientists rely on each other to be vigilant. Even so, findings too rarely are checked by others or independently replicated. Retractions, while more common, are still relatively infrequent. Findings that have been refuted can linger in the scientific literature for years to be cited unwittingly by other researchers, compounding the errors.
Stung by frauds in physics, biology and medicine, research journals recently adopted more stringent safeguards to protect at least against deliberate fabrication of data. But it is hard to admit even honest error. Last month, the Chinese government proposed a new law to allow its scientists to admit failures without penalty. Next week, the first world conference on research integrity convenes in Lisbon.
Overall, technical reviewers are hard-pressed to detect every anomaly. On average, researchers submit about 12,000 papers annually just to the weekly peer-reviewed journal Science. Last year, four papers in Science were retracted. A dozen others were corrected.
No one actually knows how many incorrect research reports remain unchallenged.
Earlier this year, informatics expert Murat Cokol and his colleagues at Columbia University sorted through 9.4 million research papers at the U.S. National Library of Medicine published from 1950 through 2004 in 4,000 journals. By raw count, just 596 had been formally retracted, Dr. Cokol reported.
"The correction isn't the ultimate truth either," Prof. Kevles said.
Email me at ScienceJournal@wsj.com.
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Re:How is this news?
(Score:5, Insightful)by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday September 18, @01:33PM (#20655741)After all, studies show that most studies are wrong.Clever.
The fact is, good science is hard work. In fact, it is damn hard work, requiring not only a supremely keen intellect but a very high tolerance for tedium, great attention to detail, and usually a big fat wad of cash. Also, it requires a profound lack of ego (and the ability to cope with failure and keep trying), given that a trememdous amount of effort could (and frequently does) wind up being completely discounted by a peer-review or another study.
The endeavor of scientific research obviously provides us tremendous benefits, and is furthering the evolution of our species at a blindingly fast rate (depending on how you look at it, of course). It is very important, very hard, and very expensive.
There are many, many people who would like to be scientists but really don't have the brain for it (as I stated above, it isn't just intelligence that matters). Unfortunately, a lot of them wind up doing research anyway, and they cause problems. Hopefully there are enough good scientists with enough funding to clean up their mess.
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Re:How is this news?
(Score:5, Informative)by posterlogo (943853) on Tuesday September 18, @12:43PM (#20654691)"We all know..." What are you basing this on??? As a postdoc, I've committed myself to a massive amount of work and I'm certainly not doing it for pay (which is meager), but a LITTLE amount of respect would be nice. I've published a few studies and it was incredibly hard work to do the kind of careful science that gets published. A small amount of scandals and people like you who swallow any sensationalist piece of news out there really cast things in an unfair light. I encourage you to read more scientific literature and actually try and understand how the scientific process works. Do you really think we live in the kind of technological age as we do in spite of "a good portion of all studies" being "bogus" or "based on nothing"? I find this incredibly insulting.
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Fairly common knowlege
(Score:5, Informative) by everphilski (877346) on Tuesday September 18, @12:56PM (#20654985)
(Last Journal: Tuesday June 06, @02:50PM)It is fairly common knowledge that 3 things factor into tenure (in this order): (1) being published (2) bringing funding into the university and (3) teaching.
1. A good number to shoot for is 15 journal articles in your first 6 years. If you don't have tenure in 6 years chances are you are never going to get it. The point of being published is to get the name of the university out.
2. Should be self-explanatory. You need to bring in $$$ to the university. The more you bring, the more profitable you are and the more they need to keep you around. But publishing is still more important.
3. Teaching, while as students we all feel is important, is actually the least important thing towards tenure. A mediocre or even bad teacher who writes papers (that get accepted by excellent journals) at a rapid pace will get tenure where an excellent teacher who can't write for the life of him will not. This is why you often see people from industry teaching. They teach for the love, tenured professors are there for the research and for the higher level teaching (where it is more a relation of facts, not an educational process).
The 'sloppy analysis' referred to is not 'fraud' as you cite. There is a difference between fraud and sloppy analysis. The rush to put out papers (between 2 and three a year, by this guide, for tenure) causes some slop to occur. As a reference, I've been working on a paper with my advisor and a (yet-to-be-tenured) professor for almost a year already, and we are just submitting it to a major journal. And the paper is based mostly off of my thesis work completed a year ago! A good paper and good research takes time. But please, do not mistake sloppy analysis for fraud. Mistakes are one thing, deception entirely another.
SOURCE: Advice to rocket scientists: A Career Survival Guide for Scientists and Engineers. Dr. Jim Longuski, published by the AIAA in 2004. But again, this is fairly common knowlege and can be found anywhere you look. As a postdoc (I am too) I'm suprised you didn't know
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Sensationalist...
14 February 2008
It is quite true that most Americans have long been been plagued by parochiality or insularity.
But it is over the top to say that they are "hostile" to global knowledge.
After World War II, the Korean War and VietNam, Americans by and large have been shown windows to the outer world. Thus, they are no longer as parochial or as insular as they were before World War II.
America is the richest and the mightiest nation on our planet. It has arrogated unto itself the unenviable role of policeman of the world.
Under President George W. Bush's leadership, America in fact seems driven by a overarching messianic fixation to remake the world in America's own "democratic" image--by military force if that is what it takes.
America is fighting the "war on terror" in Afghanistan. It is fighting another war--a war of "choice"--in Iraq.
It maintains military bases in Germany, Japan, South Korea, and other places on our globe. It is the leading force in NATO. And it is the largest financial contributor to the United Nations with headquarters in New York City.
Given the present reality of Pax Americana, it is a stretch to say that Americans are hostile to global knowledge.
MarPatalinjug@aol.com
— Mariano Patalinjug, Yonkers, New York