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Slightly Skeptical View on Ukrainian Path from EuroMaidan to EuroAnschluss via Civil War

Skepticism > Political Skeptic > Fifth Column of Neoliberal Globalization > Color revolutions

News Color revolutions Recommended Links Neoliberalism as a New Form of Corporatism Nulandgate Neoconservatism as a stage of development of Neoliberalism
Resurgence of ideology of neo-fascism The Far Right Forces in Ukraine Suppression of Russian language and culture in Ukraine  Totalitarian Decisionism & Human Rights: The Re-emergence of Nazi Law Media-Military-Industrial Complex New American Militarism
EuroMaidan101 Inside "democracy promotion" hypocrisy fair Diplomacy by deception Ukraine's oligarchs Fifth column NGOs as braintrust of color revolutions
Events of November 30 and aftermath SBU raid on Kiev Batkivshchina office Revolt of diplomats EU-brokered agreement on ending crisis To whom EuroMaidan Sharp-shooters belong? Who Shot down Malaysian flight MH17 ?
Forming Provisional government Accession of Crimea to Russia Odessa Massacre of May 2, 2014 Mariupol, May 9 events Presidential Elections of May 25. 2014 Poroshenko presidency
Russian Ukrainian Gas wars Peak Cheap Energy and Oil Price Slump Neocolonialism as Financial Imperialism Disaster capitalism   Ukrainian orange revolution
Delegitimization of Ruling Party Compradors Opposition as a way to get rid of feeling of inferiority Human right activists or globalism fifth column Exploiting "Revolutionary Romantics" as polit-technology The art of manufacturing of prisoners of consciousness
Neoliberal Propaganda In Foreign Events Coverage The Guardian Presstitutes Slip Beyond the Reach of Embarrassment Fighting Russophobia Foreign Agents Registration Act Russian Fifth column Humor Etc
  “Americans will not support those who seek independence in order to replace a far-off tyranny with a local despotism. They will not aid those who promote a suicidal nationalism based upon ethnic hatred.”

George H. W. Bush  warning to Ukrainians voiced on August 1, 1991, just four months before Ukraine declared its independence of Russia

[Jul 24, 2014]  This page is closed as new material has nothing to do with color revolution mechanics (and actually this was true for some some time, but inertia pushed the page belong the right point)

Due to size the introductory article about EuroMaidan events (aka EuroMaidan101 ) was moved to a separate page.

My thoughts and prayers are with the Ukrainian population, the real victim of this  mess. Harsh times wait them ahead indeed. Iraq and Libya are good examples of what can happen in worst case.

EuroMaidan was yet another color revolution financed (via US controlled NGO and oligarchs (such as Poroshenko, Kolomoyski)). At the end of the day they destroyed the country. There is now extremly cruel and unnecessary civil war in South East. during which a lot people are kileld a lot of propety blown up and economic damage is tens of billions of dollars, far more the Yanukovich and his thugs would be be able to speal from Ukranian people during the same period. There was also terrble, nazy style Odessa Massacre of May 2, 2014 which confirms Bush senior warning about the danger of "a suicidal nationalism based upon ethnic hatred."

The key problem with it is that there’s no endgame for the USA and EU, nor is there any benefit to “winning” Ukraine for the West.  After West installed junta  crimes in  Odessa and Mariupol, the insurgency in Ukraine has fuel for years to run, because even if Kiev takes it militarily, that's only be only temporary: now there is enough hatred in South East toward West Ukraine  to fiel gerulla war, and during guerilla war population became polirised even more. It can well last a generation.

Denying Ukraine to Russia is more harmful than beneficial. It is very harmful for Russian economics (and suicidal for Ukrainian economics). It's very harmful for Russia as Ukraine of a part of Russian culture. No matter what Galicia nationalists think (And Galicia was not a part of Ukraine proper for the most of known history; it's more part of Austria then Ukraine). Ukraine was supposed to be a bridge, keeping Russia oriented towards Europe instead of Asia. Now this bridge was destroyed by USA neocons…

It also speaks about the desperation amongst western elites about their current economic decline. The post 2008 train wreck is still in motion and it is hard to see where it completely stops.  Wars are about resources and this includes not only WWI and WWII but EuroMaidan color revolution, which is a war only by other name.

As cheap energy and raw materials are becoming more scarce western countries start operating completely outside the framework of international law.  In part this is due to the rise of the “3rd world” (e.g. China, India and many other developing states) which now became serious competitors to West for energy.  This was one of the reasons that so much manufacturing was off-shored by the West. They saw the writing on the wall. But somehow their plans did not work out and we are seeing that anti-China vector became more visible in the USA policy.

The only fair solution for the Ukrainian situation might be referendum in the South-East.  It is a rational solution  and appears to be fair. But there are no decent players in this game to conduct it impartially. While I do not agree with painting the West as a conniving devil, it came close. In any case it is absolutely clear by now -- there are no knights in shining armor in this conflict. Both West and Russia are neoliberal players, with just different agendas and different level of cultural attachment to the region. It is also clear that most of the victims are common people of Ukraine as well as all the countries directly or indirectly involved, who are being manipulated by the mainstream media into mutual distrust: the first victim in any war is always truth. My heart goes out to the people of Ukrainian South East who became pawns of the political games of  the West and who are now killed by Kiev regime with impunity. 

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It's easy to pretend to be a great strategist,
while sitting on the top of the hill,
at the safe distance from the battle in the valley

Shota Rustaveli

"Plunderers of the world, when nothing remains on the lands to which they have laid waste by wanton thievery, they search out across the seas. The wealth of another region excites their greed; and if it is weak, their lust for power.

Nothing from the rising to the setting of the sun is enough for them. Among all others only they are compelled to attack the poor as well as the rich. Robbery, rape, and slaughter they falsely call empire; and where they create a desolate wasteland, they call it peace."

Tacitus, Agricola

[Jul 30, 2014] This page is closed as new material has nothing to do with color revolution mechanics (and actually this was true for some some time, but inertia pushed the page beyond the right point). The last issue of EuroMaidan chronicles is July 2014. Few newer posts can be found at Poroshenko presidency, Russian Ukrainian Gas wars and Who Shot down Malaysian flight MH17 ?

Provisional government which Poroshenko inherited resigned after ruling coalition collapsed (Udar and Svoboda left the coalition). The government of Arseniy Yatsenyuk was created shortly February 2014 coup d'état. The latter signified the victory of EuroMaidan "color revolution" supported and financed by the USA and EU. This revolution removed from power President Viktor Yanukovych and installed pre-selected by Nuland and Co people in power. Those people represented mainly Nationalist part of population of Galicia, Volyn and Ivano-Frankivsk provinces (partially also Vinnitsa and Dnepropetrovsk provinces). The Parliament was formed the "ruling coalition" of "Batkivshchyna", ultranationalist "Freedom" and UDAR parties which represented alliance of Dnepropetrovsk oligarchic clan with ultranationalists. New, completely dominated by ultranationalists, Parliament started its law making with the attempt to suppress Russian language and abolish the adopted under Yanukovich compromise law about usage of minority languages, but this attempts failed as Turchinov did not signed it into law. They also immediately abolish the law which prohibited public display of Nazi symbols.
In a month or so they unleashed armed attempt forcefully suppress the protest of South-East and started to organize ultranationalist militias (aka death squads) to help to preserve and sustain the power obtained in coup.
Results of their rule now are pretty much evident. It is destruction of the country. Easiness with which they unleashed the civil war is startling. And as for language if they wanted to be art of Europe one official language should be English to which probably both Western Ukrainian nationalist and Eastern Ukraine "confederates" could agree. That does not mean that Eastern Ukraine is blameless, but still the major factor in unleashing this was were far right forces which came to power in February and their foreign sponsors. It was probably Odessa massacre which turned the tide in Donetsk and Lugandk toward armed resistance. But Crime also a factor.
My impression is that far right forces expected the brute force suppression of South East will bring quick success. And they badly miscalculated. Instead of short-term and bloodless "anti-terrorist" operation, new Ukrainian authorities now got what now officially called civil war. And this civil war on South East is fought with tremendous cruelty against civil population using air bombardments, tanks and heavy artillery, and with many civil population victims (I think over a thousand dead and more then 10K wounded as of Jul 24, 2014, counting victims on MH17).
Like in Spain civil war volunteers from various European countries joined the battle: Russians, Serbs, Croats, Ossetians on South-East (confederates) side; Swedes, Poland mercenaries, etc on Kiev (far right nationalist) side.
On July 23, 2014 Red Cross officially declared the conflict to be a civil war. That fact that Red Cross decorated this conflict to be a civil war changes the game legally, since there are two warring parties on equal legal footing. Both are responsible for war crimes. for some reason in MSM the view on civil war is like on something like "war light". In reality this is the most "heavy metal" war, the most cruel, uncompromising and destructive. It's enough to remember the US civil war which was the first war in which destruction of civilian infrastructure became a war goal. The is also a war with the highest number of victims among civil population, children and woman. Compare with Mosgovoy interview
Maidan, in which the only valid, rational idea was the protest against oligarchic republic and rule of oligarchs in Ukraine, completely disintegrated without achieving any progress in this direction. One oligarchic clan replaced the other. Anyone who thinks Maidan ended crony capitalism and the reign of the oligarchs are delusional. It was skillfully converted into something like national-socialist revolution in Germany, which brought to power alliance of far right nationalists and Dnepropetrovsk oligarchs, who never has chances to get to power legitimately.
If before the events of February-July supporters of Maidan could claim that Yanukovich was an old-fashioned thieving tyrant, representative of Donetsk oligarchic clan, who hinder Ukrainian progress toward democracy and European choice, now would be laughed out of the court. In comparison of half-a-year of junta rule corrupt Yanukovich regime looks now much more palatable. If you need to chose between a thief and a murderer, the choice is pretty clear to everybody. Economic collapse became unmanageable and grivna lost half of its value, making already poor people completely desperate paupers.
Unlike NSDAP coming to power in Germany in 1933 and this period was accompanied with the recovery of German economy (may be due to measures taken during Weimar republic), hijacking of Maidan protest by Far Right nationalists and February coup d'état (Orange Revolution II with brown overtones) did not bring the country anything good: the Ukrainian economy now is in ruins, brutal civil war was unleashed in South-East. Ukraine lost Crimea.
And far right are incapable to negotiate in principle -- their slogans are "Ukraine uber alles" and "death to enemies" Due to those difficulties now there are frictions within winner camp: Poroshenko fired Parubiy, who essentially brought him to power, Klitschko tries to remove remnants of protesters from the Maidan square using brute force, Kolomoisky is at war with Lyashko, Avakov is at war with Kernes and also might not last long. And civil war unleashed by Turchinov-Yatsenyk junta is simply madness!


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